{"id":1011,"date":"2023-07-28T00:17:01","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T00:17:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e5%8f%8d%e5%90%91%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb\/"},"modified":"2023-07-28T00:17:01","modified_gmt":"2023-07-28T00:17:01","slug":"%e5%8f%8d%e5%90%91%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e5%8f%8d%e5%90%91%e5%9b%a0%e6%9e%9c%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb\/","title":{"rendered":"\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u5b9a\u4e49\u548c\u793a\u4f8b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5f53\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a X \u5bfc\u81f4 Y\uff0c\u800c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a Y \u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5bfc\u81f4 X \u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0<strong>\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong>\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-10460 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/causalite-inverse1.png\" alt=\"\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\" width=\"291\" height=\"337\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8fd9\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5728\u770b\u5f85\u4e24\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u65f6\u5e38\u72af\u7684\u9519\u8bef\uff0c\u9519\u8bef\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b 1\uff1a\u5438\u70df\u4e0e\u6291\u90c1\u75c7<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e38\u89c1\u8c2c\u8bef\u6d89\u53ca\u5438\u70df\u548c\u6291\u90c1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u4e00\u9879\u89c2\u5bdf\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u5438\u70df\u8f83\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u52a0\u6291\u90c1\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5929\u771f\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5438\u70df<em>\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4<\/em>\u6291\u90c1\u75c7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53cd\u6094\uff0c\u6291\u90c1\u75c7\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4f1a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u5438\u70df\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5438\u70df\u662f\u7f13\u89e3\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u53d1\u6cc4\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b 2\uff1a\u6536\u5165\u548c\u5e78\u798f<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e38\u89c1\u9519\u8bef\u6d89\u53ca\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u5e74\u6536\u5165\u548c\u5e78\u798f\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u4e00\u9879\u89c2\u5bdf\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\uff0c\u5e74\u6536\u5165\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u4eba\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u62a5\u544a\u603b\u4f53\u751f\u6d3b\u66f4\u52a0\u5e78\u798f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u5047\u8bbe\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5929\u751f\u5feb\u4e50\u7684\u4eba\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u5de5\u4eba\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6536\u5165\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u626d\u8f6c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6536\u5165\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u3002\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u66f4\u9ad8\u6536\u5165\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u793a\u4f8b 3\uff1a\u5438\u6bd2\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u6d89\u53ca\u5438\u6bd2\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u4e00\u9879\u89c2\u5bdf\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u5438\u6bd2\u8005\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u6c34\u5e73\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8f83\u4f4e\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5929\u771f\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5438\u6bd2<em>\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4<\/em>\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u72b6\u51b5\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5929\u751f\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5438\u6bd2\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5438\u6bd2\u4e0e\u5fc3\u7406\u5065\u5eb7\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u5173\u7cfb\u662f\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5224\u65ad\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8bc4\u4f30\u73b0\u8c61\u4e4b\u95f4\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u4f7f\u7528<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bradford_Hill_criteria\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Bradford Hill \u6807\u51c6<\/a>\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u82f1\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u5bb6 Austin Bradford Hill \u7235\u58eb\u4e8e 1965 \u5e74\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u4e00\u7ec4\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u8bc1\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8fd9\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\u662f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>1.<\/strong><strong>\u5f3a\u5ea6\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u8054\u6027\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>2. \u4e00\u81f4\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e0d\u540c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u70b9\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\u6837\u672c\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u7ed3\u679c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5173\u8054\u5177\u6709\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>3. \u7279\u5f02\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u5982\u679c\u7279\u5b9a\u5730\u70b9\u5b58\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u4eba\u7fa4\u548c\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>4. \u65f6\u95f4\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u7ed3\u679c\u5fc5\u987b\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u540e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>5. \u751f\u7269\u68af\u5ea6\uff1a<\/strong>\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u66b4\u9732\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u53d1\u751f\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>6. \u5408\u7406\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u4e4b\u95f4\u5408\u7406\u7684\u673a\u5236\u662f\u6709\u7528\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>7. \u4e00\u81f4\u6027\uff1a<\/strong>\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u7ed3\u679c\u548c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u7ed3\u679c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u4ea7\u751f\u6548\u679c\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>8. \u5b9e\u9a8c\uff1a<\/strong>\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u636e\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a7\u5236\u5176\u4ed6\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>9. \u7c7b\u6bd4\uff1a<\/strong>\u4f7f\u7528\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u5173\u8054\u4e0e\u4efb\u4f55\u5176\u4ed6\u5173\u8054\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7c7b\u6bd4\u6216\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u53ef\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e5d\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u589e\u52a0\u6b63\u786e\u8bc6\u522b\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5f53\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a X \u5bfc\u81f4 Y\uff0c\u800c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a Y \u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5bfc\u81f4 X \u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3002 \u8fd9\u662f\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5728\u770b\u5f85\u4e24\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u65f6\u5e38 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u5b9a\u4e49\u548c\u793a\u4f8b - Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5b9a\u4e49\u548c\u51e0\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u53cd\u5411\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" 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