{"id":1022,"date":"2023-07-27T23:19:13","date_gmt":"2023-07-27T23:19:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e6%9c%89%e9%99%90%e6%80%bb%e4%bd%93%e4%bf%ae%e6%ad%a3%e5%9b%a0%e5%ad%90\/"},"modified":"2023-07-27T23:19:13","modified_gmt":"2023-07-27T23:19:13","slug":"%e6%9c%89%e9%99%90%e6%80%bb%e4%bd%93%e4%bf%ae%e6%ad%a3%e5%9b%a0%e5%ad%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e6%9c%89%e9%99%90%e6%80%bb%e4%bd%93%e4%bf%ae%e6%ad%a3%e5%9b%a0%e5%ad%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u4fee\u6b63\u7cfb\u6570\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7528\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97<strong>\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\u7684<\/strong>\u516c\u5f0f\u90fd\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff1a(1) \u901a\u8fc7\u653e\u56de\u9009\u62e9\u6837\u672c\u6216 (2) \u4ece\u65e0\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u4e2d\u9009\u62e9<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u603b\u4f53\u4e0e\u6837\u672c\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6837\u672c<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u5b9e\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60f3\u6cd5\u90fd\u4e0d\u6b63\u786e\u3002\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6837\u672c\u91cf\u5c0f\u4e8e\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u7684 5%\uff0c\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u662f\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u6837\u672c\u91cf\u5927\u4e8e\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u7684 5% \u65f6\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u5e94\u7528<strong>\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u6821\u6b63<\/strong>\uff08\u901a\u5e38\u7f29\u5199\u4e3a<em>FPC<\/em> \uff09\uff0c\u5176\u8ba1\u7b97\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>FPC = \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">(Nn) \/ (N-1)<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\u5b50\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>N\uff1a<\/strong>\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>n\uff1a<\/strong>\u6837\u672c\u91cf<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u6821\u6b63\u56e0\u5b50<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8981\u5e94\u7528\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u6821\u6b63\uff0c\u53ea\u9700\u5c06\u5176\u4e58\u4ee5\u6700\u521d\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\u5373\u53ef\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\u8ba1\u7b97\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\uff1a<\/strong> s \/ \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u5e94\u7528\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u6821\u6b63\uff0c\u516c\u5f0f\u53d8\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\uff1a<\/strong> s \/ \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">n<\/span> * \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">(Nn) \/ (N-1)<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u793a\u4f8b\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u573a\u666f\u4e0b\u4f7f\u7528\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u6821\u6b63\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b 1\uff1a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u60f3\u8981\u4f30\u7b97\u4e00\u4e2a\u62e5\u6709 1,300 \u540d\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u53bf\u4e2d\u652f\u6301\u67d0\u9879\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u62bd\u6837\u65b9\u6cd5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u968f\u673a\u62bd\u53d6 100 \u540d\u5c45\u6c11\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6837\u672c<\/a>\uff0c\u8be2\u95ee\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6837\u672c\u91cf<strong>n = 100<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u652f\u6301\u8be5\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b<strong>p = 0.56<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u6bd4\u4f8b95%\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>95% CI = p +\/- z*(\u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">p(1-p) \/ n<\/span> )<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u672c\u4f8b\u4e2d\u7684\u6837\u672c\u91cf\u4e3a 100\/1300 = 7.7%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86 5%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u5e94\u7528\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u4fee\u6b63\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>95% CI = p +\/- z*(\u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">p(1-p)\/n<\/span> ) * \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">(Nn) \/ (N-1)<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684 95% \u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-slot-rendered-dynamic=\"true\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>95% CI =<\/strong> 0.56 +\/- 1.96*(\u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">0.56(1-0.56) \/ 100<\/span> ) * \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">(1300-100) \/ (1300-1)<\/span> = <strong>[0.4665, 0.6535]<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b 2\uff1a\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u60f3\u8981\u4f30\u7b97 500 \u53ea\u6d77\u9f9f\u4e2d\u67d0\u4e2a\u7269\u79cd\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u91cd\u91cf\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u968f\u673a\u62bd\u53d6\u4e86 40 \u53ea\u6d77\u9f9f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6837\u672c\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u6bcf\u53ea\u6d77\u9f9f\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u79f0\u91cd\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6837\u672c\u91cf<strong>n = 40<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5e73\u5747\u6837\u672c\u91cd\u91cf<strong><span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">x<\/span> = 300<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6837\u672c\u6807\u51c6\u5dee<strong>s = 18.5<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u603b\u4f53\u5e73\u5747\u503c 95% \u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>95% CI = <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">x<\/span> +\/- t <sub>\u03b1\/2<\/sub> *(s\/\u221an)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u672c\u4f8b\u4e2d\u7684\u6837\u672c\u91cf\u4e3a 40\/500 = 8%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86 5%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5bf9\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u5e94\u7528\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u4fee\u6b63\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>95% CI = <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">x<\/span> +\/- t <sub>\u03b1\/2<\/sub> *(s\/\u221an) * \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">(Nn) \/ (N-1)<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684 95% \u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-slot-rendered-dynamic=\"true\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>95% CI =<\/strong> 300 +\/- 2.0227*(18.5\/\u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">40<\/span> ) * \u221a <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">(500-40) \/ (500-1)<\/span> = <strong>[294.32, 305.69]<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u6e90<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u7f6e\u4fe1\u533a\u95f4\uff1f<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u8bef\u5dee\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0e\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u533a\u522b\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8bef\u5dee\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e0e\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\uff1a\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u533a\u522b\uff1f<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u4e0e\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u548c\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\uff1a\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u533a\u522b\uff1f<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7528\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u6807\u51c6\u8bef\u5dee\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u90fd\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\uff1a(1) \u901a\u8fc7\u653e\u56de\u9009\u62e9\u6837\u672c\u6216 (2) \u4ece\u65e0\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u4e2d\u9009\u62e9\u6837\u672c\u3002 \u5728\u5b9e [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u6709\u9650\u603b\u4f53\u4fee\u6b63\u7cfb\u6570\uff1f - \u7edf\u8ba1<\/title>\n<meta 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