{"id":1096,"date":"2023-07-27T16:38:31","date_gmt":"2023-07-27T16:38:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e5%81%87%e8%ae%be\/"},"modified":"2023-07-27T16:38:31","modified_gmt":"2023-07-27T16:38:31","slug":"%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e5%81%87%e8%ae%be","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e5%81%87%e8%ae%be\/","title":{"rendered":"\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u76846\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\uff08\u9644\u4f8b\u5b50\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5f53<a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u53d8\u91cf\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u53cd\u5e94\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf<\/a>\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\uff0c<strong>\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u5c06\u6a21\u578b\u62df\u5408\u5230\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u4f1a\u505a\u51fa\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5047\u8bbe#1\uff1a\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u4e8c\u8fdb\u5236\u7684<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u53ea\u6709\u4e24\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u6709\u4e9b\u4f8b\u5b50\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u662f\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0d\u662f<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7537\u5973\u4e0d\u9650<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6210\u529f\u6216\u5931\u8d25<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6210\u6587\u6216\u4e0d\u6210\u6587<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6076\u6027\u6216\u826f\u6027<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u9a8c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/strong>\u53ea\u9700\u8ba1\u7b97\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u60a8\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u6267\u884c<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Ordinal_regression\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5e8f\u6570\u56de\u5f52<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5047\u8bbe#2\uff1a\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u72ec\u7acb\u7684<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u503c\u5f7c\u6b64\u72ec\u7acb\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0d\u5e94\u6765\u81ea\u5bf9\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u91cd\u590d\u6d4b\u91cf\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5e94\u4ee5\u4efb\u4f55\u65b9\u5f0f\u76f8\u4e92\u5173\u8054\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u9a8c\u8be5\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/strong>\u68c0\u9a8c\u8be5\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u521b\u5efa\u6b8b\u5dee\u4e0e\u65f6\u95f4\uff08\u5373\u89c2\u5bdf\u987a\u5e8f\uff09\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u56fe\uff0c\u5e76\u89c2\u5bdf\u662f\u5426\u5b58\u5728\u968f\u673a\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5982\u679c<em>\u6ca1\u6709<\/em>\u968f\u673a\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fdd\u53cd\u6b64\u5047\u8bbe\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5047\u8bbe#3\uff1a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u53d8\u91cf\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u53cd\u5e94\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf<\/a>\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u4e25\u91cd\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5f53\u4e24\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u5f7c\u6b64\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f4\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u5728\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u63d0\u4f9b\u552f\u4e00\u6216\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u3002\u5982\u679c\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8db3\u591f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5219\u5728\u62df\u5408\u548c\u89e3\u91ca\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u60a8\u8981\u4f7f\u7528<strong>\u6700\u5927\u5782\u76f4\u8df3\u8dc3<\/strong>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u53d8\u91cf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u6765\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7403\u5458\u5c3a\u5bf8<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7403\u5458\u5c3a\u5bf8<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6bcf\u5929\u82b1\u5728\u7ec3\u4e60\u4e0a\u7684\u65f6\u95f4<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c<strong>\u8eab\u9ad8<\/strong>\u548c<strong>\u978b\u7801<\/strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u4eba\u5f80\u5f80\u6709\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u978b\u7801\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u56de\u5f52\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u67e5\u6b64\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/strong>\u68c0\u6d4b\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u7684\u6700\u5e38\u89c1\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u65b9\u5dee\u81a8\u80c0\u56e0\u5b50 (VIF)\uff0c\u5b83\u8861\u91cf\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002\u67e5\u770b<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u591a\u91cd\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u672c\u6559\u7a0b\uff0c<\/a>\u4e86\u89e3\u5982\u4f55\u8ba1\u7b97\u548c\u89e3\u91ca VIF \u503c\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u8bf4\u660e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong>\u5047\u8bbe#4\uff1a\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u6781\u7aef\u5f02\u5e38\u503c<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u6781\u7aef\u5f02\u5e38\u503c\u6216\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u503c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u9a8c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/strong>\u6d4b\u8bd5\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5f02\u5e38\u503c\u548c\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u503c\u7684\u6700\u5e38\u89c1\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89c2\u6d4b\u503c\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528\u5e93\u514b\u8ddd\u79bb\u8bc6\u522b\u6709\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u6570\u636e\u70b9\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5e93\u514b\u8ddd\u79bb<\/a>\u3002\u5982\u679c\u786e\u5b9e\u5b58\u5728\u5f02\u5e38\u503c\uff0c\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u9009\u62e9 (1) \u5220\u9664\u5b83\u4eec\uff0c(2) \u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u66ff\u6362\u4e3a\u5747\u503c\u6216\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u7b49\u503c\uff0c\u6216\u8005 (3) \u53ea\u9700\u5c06\u5b83\u4eec\u4fdd\u7559\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u62a5\u544a\u56de\u5f52\u65f6\u8bb0\u4e0b\u5b83\u4eec\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5047\u8bbe#5\uff1a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u7684 logit \u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u7684 logit \u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u56de\u60f3\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0clogit \u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">Logit(p) = log(p \/ (1-p)) \u5176\u4e2d p \u662f\u9633\u6027\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u9a8c\u8be5\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/strong>\u68c0\u9a8c\u8be5\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\u5426\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u4f7f\u7528 Box-Tidwell \u68c0\u9a8c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5047\u8bbe#6\uff1a\u6837\u672c\u91cf\u8db3\u591f\u5927<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u7684\u6837\u672c\u91cf\u8db3\u591f\u5927\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u62df\u5408\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u5f97\u51fa\u6709\u6548\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u68c0\u9a8c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\uff1a<\/strong>\u6839\u636e\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u5e94\u8be5\u81f3\u5c11\u6709 10 \u4e2a\u5177\u6709\u6700\u4e0d\u9891\u7e41\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u6709 3 \u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6700\u4e0d\u5e38\u89c1\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u9884\u671f\u6982\u7387\u4e3a 0.20\uff0c\u5219\u60a8\u7684\u6837\u672c\u5927\u5c0f\u5e94\u81f3\u5c11\u4e3a (10*3) \/ 0.20 = <strong>150<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Logistic \u56de\u5f52\u4e0e\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e0e\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6b8b\u5dee\u5448\u6b63\u6001\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b8b\u5dee\u5fc5\u987b\u5177\u6709\u6052\u5b9a\u65b9\u5dee\uff0c\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u5f02\u65b9\u5dee\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u540c\u65b9\u5dee\u6027<\/a>\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u76f8\u5173\uff1a<\/span><\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u5047\u8bbe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u56db\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe<\/a><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u6e90<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u5b9e\u4f8b\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u73b0\u5b9e\u751f\u6d3b\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684 4 \u4e2a\u793a\u4f8b<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/spss\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728 SPSS \u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52excel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7edf\u8ba1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728Stata\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5f53\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002 \u5728\u5c06\u6a21\u578b\u62df\u5408\u5230\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u4f1a\u505a\u51fa\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5047 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ 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