{"id":4495,"date":"2023-07-10T16:22:01","date_gmt":"2023-07-10T16:22:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e7%b3%bb%e6%95%b0\/"},"modified":"2023-07-10T16:22:01","modified_gmt":"2023-07-10T16:22:01","slug":"%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e7%b3%bb%e6%95%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e7%b3%bb%e6%95%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\uff08\u4e3e\u4f8b\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5f53<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u53d8\u91cf\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u53cd\u5e94\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf<\/a>\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f521\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/a>\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u62df\u5408\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u8868\u793a\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u5bf9<strong>\u6570\u4f3c\u7136\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u53d8\u5316<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<pre style=\"background-color: #ececec; font-size: 18px;\"> <strong>\u03b2 = Average Change in Log Odds of Response Variable\n<\/strong><\/pre>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u7ecf\u5e38\u60f3\u8981\u4e86\u89e3\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf<strong>\u6982\u7387\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u53d8\u5316<\/strong>\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u516c\u5f0f<strong>e <sup>\u03b2<\/sup><\/strong>\u627e\u5230\u5b83\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<pre style=\"background-color: #ececec; font-size: 18px;\"> <strong>e <sup>\u03b2<\/sup> = Average Change in Odds of Response Variable<\/strong><\/pre>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u793a\u4f8b\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u8981\u4f7f\u7528<strong>\u6027\u522b<\/strong>\u548c<strong>\u7ec3\u4e60\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u6b21\u6570<\/strong>\u6765\u62df\u5408\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u5b66\u751f\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u73ed\u7ea7\u671f\u672b\u8003\u8bd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u8f6f\u4ef6\uff08\u4f8b\u5982 R\u3001 <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52-python\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Python<\/a> \u3001 <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52excel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Excel<\/a>\u6216<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u6c14\u95f8\u4e2d\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SAS<\/a> \uff09\u62df\u5408\u6a21\u578b\u5e76\u6536\u5230\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<table style=\"border: 1px solid black;\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7cfb\u6570\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1<\/strong><\/span><\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6807\u51c6\u8bef<\/strong><\/span><\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>Z\u503c<\/strong><\/span><\/th>\n<th style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>P\u503c<\/strong><\/span><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u622a\u8ddd<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">-1.34<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">0.23<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">5.83<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">&lt;0.001<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7537\u6027\uff09<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">-0.56<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">0.25<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">2.24<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">0.03<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5b9e\u8df5\u8003\u8bd5<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">1.13<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">0.43<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">2.63<\/span><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\"> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">0.01<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u6027\u522b\uff08\u4e8c\u5143\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\uff09<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c<strong>\u6027\u522b\u7684<\/strong>\u7cfb\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a\u8d1f\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7537\u6027\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u6027\u522b\u7684 p \u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e 0.05\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b83\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u8bd5\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u7740\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u51c6\u786e\u4e86\u89e3\u7537\u6027\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u8bd5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u516c\u5f0f<strong>e <sup>\u03b2<\/sup><\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>e <sup>-0.56<\/sup> = 0.57<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6b64\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\uff0c<em>\u5047\u8bbe\u6a21\u62df\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8<\/em>\uff0c\u7537\u6027\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4ec5\u662f\u5973\u6027\u7684<strong>0.57<\/strong>\u500d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u540c\u6837<em>\u5047\u8bbe\u7ec3\u4e60\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8<\/em>\uff0c\u7537\u6027\u901a\u8fc7\u8003\u8bd5\u7684<strong>\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u6bd4\u5973\u6027\u4f4e (1 \u2013 0.57) 43%<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u8bfb\u5b9e\u8df5\u8003\u8bd5\uff08\u8fde\u7eed\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\uff09<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c<b>\u5b9e\u8df5\u8003\u8bd5<\/b>\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u4e3a\u6b63\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u6bcf\u591a\u53c2\u52a0\u4e00\u6b21\u5b9e\u8df5\u8003\u8bd5\u5c31\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u672b\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u6a21\u62df\u8003\u8bd5\u6b21\u6570\u7684 p \u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e 0.05\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b83\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u672b\u8003\u8bd5\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u7740\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u91cf\u5316\u6bcf\u6b21\u989d\u5916\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u8003\u8bd5\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u672b\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u516c\u5f0f<strong>e <sup>\u03b2<\/sup><\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>e <sup>1.13<\/sup> = 3.09<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6b64\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\uff0c<em>\u5047\u8bbe\u6027\u522b\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8<\/em>\uff0c\u5219\u6bcf\u591a\u53c2\u52a0\u4e00\u6b21\u5b9e\u8df5\u8003\u8bd5\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u672b\u8003\u8bd5\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u5c31\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0<strong>3.09<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u6bcf\u6b21\u989d\u5916\u53c2\u52a0\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u8003\u8bd5\u90fd\u4e0e\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u672b\u8003\u8bd5<strong>\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u589e\u52a0 (3.09 \u2013 1) 209%<\/strong>\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u540c\u6837<em>\u5047\u8bbe\u6027\u522b\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6ce8\u610f<\/strong>\uff1a\u8bf7\u53c2\u9605<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u4ece\u539f\u70b9\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u672c\u6587<\/a>\u4ee5\u4e86\u89e3\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u539f\u59cb\u672f\u8bed\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u6e90<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6559\u7a0b\u63d0\u4f9b\u6709\u5173\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u5982\u4f55\u62a5\u544a\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5982\u4f55\u62a5\u544a\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u539f\u5047\u8bbe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e86\u89e3\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u539f\u5047\u8bbe<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u4e0e\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u548c\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u533a\u522b<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5f53\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002 \u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u62df\u5408\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u65f6\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u8868\u793a\u4e0e [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca Logistic \u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\uff08\u4e3e\u4f8b\uff09- \u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u672c\u6559\u7a0b\u901a\u8fc7\u793a\u4f8b\u89e3\u91ca\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca Logistic \u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\uff08\u4e3e\u4f8b\uff09- \u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\u672c\u6559\u7a0b\u901a\u8fc7\u793a\u4f8b\u89e3\u91ca\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u3002\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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