{"id":512,"date":"2023-07-29T16:11:24","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T16:11:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%e7%9a%84-cd-%e7%bb%9f%e8%ae%a1%e9%87%8f\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T16:11:24","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T16:11:24","slug":"%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%e7%9a%84-cd-%e7%bb%9f%e8%ae%a1%e9%87%8f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b%e7%9a%84-cd-%e7%bb%9f%e8%ae%a1%e9%87%8f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684 c \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u672c\u6559\u7a0b\u7b80\u5355\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u89e3\u91ca\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684<strong>C \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\uff1f<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5f53<em>\u54cd\u5e94<\/em><em>\u53d8\u91cf<\/em>\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u5b83\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4f7f\u7528\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u793a\u4f8b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u8fd0\u52a8\u3001\u996e\u98df\u548c\u4f53\u91cd\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f<em>\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c<\/em>\uff0c\u5b83\u6709\u4e24\u79cd\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u53d1\u751f\u6216\u4e0d\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u77e5\u9053 GPA\u3001ACT \u5206\u6570\u548c\u4fee\u8bfb\u7684 AP \u8bfe\u7a0b\u6570\u91cf\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u88ab\u7279\u5b9a\u5927\u5b66\u5f55\u53d6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f<em>\u63a5\u53d7<\/em>\uff0c\u5b83\u6709\u4e24\u79cd\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u63a5\u53d7\u6216\u4e0d\u63a5\u53d7\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u5b57\u6570\u548c\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u6807\u9898\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u4e3a\u5783\u573e\u90ae\u4ef6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f<em>\u5783\u573e\u90ae\u4ef6<\/em>\uff0c\u5b83\u6709\u4e24\u79cd\u6f5c\u5728\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u5783\u573e\u90ae\u4ef6\u6216\u975e\u5783\u573e\u90ae\u4ef6\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u6570\u503c\u53d8\u91cf\u6216\u5206\u7c7b\u53d8\u91cf\uff1b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u4e8c\u8fdb\u5236\u7684\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u662f\u7528\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u5408\u9002\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u8bc4\u4f30\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5145\u5206\u6027<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e00\u65e6\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u62df\u5408\u5230\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u6570\u636e\u7684\u62df\u5408<em>\u7a0b\u5ea6<\/em>\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u6a21\u578b\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u79ef\u6781\u548c\u6d88\u6781\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u654f\u611f\u6027<\/strong>\u662f\u6307\u5f53\u7ed3\u679c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u65f6\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u79ef\u6781\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7279\u5f02\u6027<\/strong>\u662f\u6307\u5f53\u7ed3\u679c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u65f6\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5982\u679c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u5177\u6709 100% \u7684\u654f\u611f\u6027\u548c\u7279\u5f02\u6027\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5b83\u975e\u5e38\u9002\u5408\u5bf9\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\uff0c\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e00\u65e6\u6211\u4eec\u62df\u5408\u4e86\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u503c\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u7ed9\u5b9a\u89c2\u5bdf\u7ed3\u679c\u4ea7\u751f\u79ef\u6781\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u786e\u5b9a\u89c2\u5bdf\u662f\u5426\u5e94\u8be5\u88ab\u5206\u7c7b\u4e3a\u9633\u6027\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u9009\u62e9\u4e00\u4e2a\u9608\u503c\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u7684\u6982\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9608\u503c\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u88ab\u5206\u7c7b\u4e3a\u9633\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u6240\u6709\u8c03\u6574\u540e\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9608\u503c\u7684\u89c2\u5bdf\u88ab\u5206\u7c7b\u4e3a\u9634\u6027\u3002 \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u9009\u62e9\u9608\u503c 0.5\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4efb\u4f55\u8c03\u6574\u6982\u7387\u5927\u4e8e 0.5 \u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u503c\u90fd\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u6b63\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u4efb\u4f55\u8c03\u6574\u6982\u7387\u5c0f\u4e8e\u6216\u7b49\u4e8e 0.5 \u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u503c\u90fd\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u8d1f\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7ed8\u5236 ROC \u66f2\u7ebf<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u654f\u611f\u6027\u4e0e\u7279\u5f02\u6027\u7684\u6700\u5e38\u89c1\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u7ed8\u5236\u53d7\u8bd5\u8005\u5de5\u4f5c\u7279\u5f81 ( <strong>ROC<\/strong> )<strong>\u66f2\u7ebf<\/strong>\uff0c\u8be5\u66f2\u7ebf\u662f\u654f\u611f\u6027\u503c\u4e0e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9608\u503c\u7684\u7279\u5f02\u6027 1 \u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u56fe\u3002\u70b9\u4ece 0 \u5230 1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5177\u6709\u9ad8\u7075\u654f\u5ea6\u548c\u7279\u5f02\u6027\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u9002\u5408\u56fe\u5de6\u4e0a\u89d2\u7684 ROC \u66f2\u7ebf\u3002\u4f4e\u7075\u654f\u5ea6\u548c\u4f4e\u7279\u5f02\u6027\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u63a5\u8fd1 45 \u5ea6\u5bf9\u89d2\u7ebf\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>AUC<\/strong> <strong>\uff08\u66f2\u7ebf\u4e0b\u9762\u79ef\uff09<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u533a\u5206\u6b63\u7ed3\u679c\u548c\u8d1f\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002 AUC \u7684\u8303\u56f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece 0 \u5230 1\u3002AUC \u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u6b63\u786e\u5206\u7c7b\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u5c31\u8d8a\u597d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740 ROC \u66f2\u7ebf\u7d27\u8d34\u56fe\u5de6\u4e0a\u89d2\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u4e0b\u9762\u79ef\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u6b63\u786e\u5206\u7c7b\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0cROC \u66f2\u7ebf\u7d27\u8d34 45 \u5ea6\u5bf9\u89d2\u7ebf\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u4e0b\u9762\u79ef\u8f83\u5c0f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u4e0d\u80fd\u5f88\u597d\u5730\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4e86\u89e3 C \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>c \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf<\/strong>\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a<em>\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf<\/em>\uff0c\u7b49\u4e8e AUC\uff08\u66f2\u7ebf\u4e0b\u9762\u79ef\uff09\u5e76\u5177\u6709\u4ee5\u4e0b\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u503c\u5c0f\u4e8e 0.5 \u8868\u793a\u6a21\u578b\u8f83\u5dee\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u503c\u4e3a 0.5 \u8868\u793a\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u5206\u7c7b\u7ed3\u679c\u65b9\u9762\u5e76\u4e0d\u6bd4\u673a\u4f1a\u66f4\u597d\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8be5\u503c\u8d8a\u63a5\u8fd1 1\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5c31\u8d8a\u80fd\u591f\u6b63\u786e\u5730\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u503c\u4e3a 1 \u8868\u793a\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u975e\u5e38\u9002\u5408\u5bf9\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0cC \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u6b63\u786e\u5206\u7c7b\u7ed3\u679c\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u4e34\u5e8a\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u83b7\u53d6\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\uff08\u5373\u7ecf\u5386\u9633\u6027\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u548c\u7ecf\u5386\u9634\u6027\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\uff09\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97C\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0cc \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e3a\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5bf9\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u7ecf\u5386\u79ef\u6781\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u6bd4\u6ca1\u6709\u7ecf\u5386\u79ef\u6781\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5177\u6709\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u8be5\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528<em>\u5e74\u9f84<\/em>\u548c<em>\u8840\u538b<\/em>\u7b49\u9884\u6d4b\u53d8\u91cf\u62df\u5408\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u627e\u5230\u6a21\u578b\u7684 c \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u8bc6\u522b\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u548c\u672a\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0cc \u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5bf9\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0e\u672a\u906d\u53d7\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u60a3\u6709\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5177\u6709\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u9884\u6d4b\u6982\u7387\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u5fc3\u810f\u75c5\u53d1\u4f5c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7ed3\u8bba<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u6211\u4eec\u5b66\u5230\u4e86\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5185\u5bb9\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5f53<em>\u54cd\u5e94<\/em><em>\u53d8\u91cf<\/em>\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u5b83\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: 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