{"id":595,"date":"2023-07-29T09:36:52","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:36:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/excel%e5%8d%a1\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T09:36:52","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:36:52","slug":"excel%e5%8d%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/excel%e5%8d%a1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u5728 excel \u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee (mape)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8861\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u7684\u6700\u5e38\u7528\u6307\u6807\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f<strong>MAPE<\/strong> \uff0c\u5b83\u4ee3\u8868<strong>\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE<\/strong> = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\u5b9e\u9645 \u2013 \u9884\u6d4b| \/ |\u5b9e\u9645|) * 100<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\u5b50\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u03a3\u2014\u2014<\/strong>\u4e00\u4e2a\u5947\u7279\u7684\u7b26\u53f7\uff0c\u610f\u601d\u662f\u201c\u548c\u201d<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>n\u2014\u2014<\/strong>\u6837\u672c\u91cf<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>real\u2014\u2014<\/strong>\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u503c<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\u2014\u2014\u6570\u636e\u7684\u9884\u671f\u503c<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE \u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u5e38\u7528\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u6613\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\u548c\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0cMAPE \u503c\u4e3a 11.5% \u8868\u793a\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u503c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5dee\u5f02\u4e3a 11.5%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE \u503c\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u503c\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u5c31\u8d8a\u597d\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0cMAPE \u4e3a 2% \u7684\u6a21\u578b\u6bd4 MAPE \u4e3a 10% \u7684\u6a21\u578b\u66f4\u51c6\u786e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97 MAPE<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8981\u5728Excel\u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97MAPE\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6267\u884c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6b65\u9aa4\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa41\uff1a\u5728\u4e24\u4e2a\u5355\u72ec\u7684\u5217\u4e2d\u8f93\u5165\u5b9e\u9645\u503c\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u3002<\/strong><\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5467 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape1.png\" alt=\"\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97 MAPE\" width=\"431\" height=\"411\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa4 2\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bcf\u884c\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u56de\u60f3\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a|\u5b9e\u9645\u9884\u6d4b| \/ |\u771f\u5b9e| * 100\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f7f\u7528\u6b64\u516c\u5f0f\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u6bcf\u884c\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u9519\u8bef\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">D \u5217\u663e\u793a\u7edd\u5bf9\u8bef\u5dee\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\uff0cE \u5217\u663e\u793a\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5469 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape2-1.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684 MAPE \u793a\u4f8b\" width=\"566\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4e00\u884c\u91cd\u590d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5470 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape3.png\" alt=\"Excel \u8ba1\u7b97 MAPE\" width=\"568\" height=\"310\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa4 3\uff1a\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u627e\u5230 D \u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u503c\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97 MAPE\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5472 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape4.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684 MAPE \u793a\u4f8b\" width=\"576\" height=\"362\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u7684 MAPE \u7ed3\u679c\u4e3a<strong>6.47%<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f7f\u7528 MAPE \u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u4e8b\u9879<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5c3d\u7ba1 MAPE \u6613\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u548c\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4f7f\u7528\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u7f3a\u70b9\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>1.<\/strong>\u7531\u4e8e\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a |actual-forecast| \/ |\u771f\u5b9e|\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5982\u679c\u4efb\u4f55\u5b9e\u9645\u503c\u4e3a\u96f6\uff0c\u5219\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8bbe\u7f6e\u5b83\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>2.<\/strong> MAPE \u4e0d\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u4f4e\u5bb9\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u67d0\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u9700\u6c42\u4e3a 2\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e3a 1\uff0c\u5219\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u503c\u4e3a |2-1| \/ |2| = 50%\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u9884\u6d4b\u8bef\u5dee\u663e\u5f97\u76f8\u5f53\u9ad8\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u9884\u6d4b\u4ec5\u504f\u79bb 1 \u4e2a\u5355\u4f4d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8861\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5e38\u89c1\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f MAD\u2014\u2014\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u504f\u5dee\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u5982\u4f55\u5728excel\u4e2d\u8f7b\u677e\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u504f\u5dee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5728\u6b64\u5904<\/a>\u4e86\u89e3\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97 MAD\u3002<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5176\u4ed6\u8d44\u6e90<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MAPE \u7684\u826f\u597d\u4ef7\u503c\u662f\u591a\u5c11\uff1f<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/excel-\u4e2d\u7684-smap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97 SMAPE<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u8868\u793a\u7edd\u5bf9\u8bef\u5deeexcel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97 MAE<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8861\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\u9884\u6d4b\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u7684\u6700\u5e38\u7528\u6307\u6807\u4e4b\u4e00\u662fMAPE \uff0c\u5b83\u4ee3\u8868\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\u3002 MAPE\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a MAPE [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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