{"id":600,"date":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%b9%b3%e6%bb%91excel\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","slug":"%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%b9%b3%e6%bb%91excel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%b9%b3%e6%bb%91excel\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u5728 excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1<\/strong>\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u5e73\u6ed1\u201d\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u7528\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u57fa\u672c\u601d\u60f3\u662f\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u901a\u5e38\u4e0e\u201c\u968f\u673a\u566a\u58f0\u201d\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u6ce2\u5cf0\u548c\u6ce2\u8c37\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u8fc7\u5e94\u7528\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e73\u6ed1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6ce2\u5cf0\u548c\u6ce2\u8c37\uff0c\u4ee5\u67e5\u770b\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002 \u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5547 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth2.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\" width=\"448\" height=\"270\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5e94\u7528\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u516c\u5f0f\u662f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">F <sub>t<\/sub> = \u03b1y <sub>t-1<\/sub> + (1 \u2013 \u03b1) F <sub>t-1<\/sub><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\u5b50\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>F <sub>t<\/sub><\/strong> = \u5f53\u524d\u5468\u671f<em>t<\/em>\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u03b1<\/strong> = \u5e73\u6ed1\u5e38\u6570\u7684\u503c\uff0c\u4ecb\u4e8e 0 \u548c 1 \u4e4b\u95f4<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>y<\/strong> <sub><strong>t-1<\/strong><\/sub> = \u4e0a\u4e00\u5468\u671f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u503c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>F <sub>t-1<\/sub><\/strong> = \u4e0a\u671f<em>t-1<\/em>\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">alpha\u503c\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u8d8a\u5e73\u6ed1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u672c\u6559\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c55\u793a\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528 Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u5185\u7f6e\u51fd\u6570\u5bf9\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u6267\u884c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b\uff1aExcel \u4e2d\u7684\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6570\u636e\u96c6\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u7279\u5b9a\u516c\u53f8 10 \u4e2a\u9500\u552e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u9500\u552e\u989d\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5546 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth1.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u7684\u793a\u4f8b\" width=\"524\" height=\"533\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5b8c\u6210\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6b65\u9aa4\u4ee5\u5bf9\u6b64\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u5e94\u7528\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa41\uff1a\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u201d\u6309\u94ae\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8f6c\u5230\u9876\u90e8\u529f\u80fd\u533a\u7684\u201c\u6570\u636e\u201d\u9009\u9879\u5361\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb\u201c\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u201d\u6309\u94ae\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u5230\u6b64\u6309\u94ae\uff0c\u5219\u5fc5\u987b\u9996\u5148<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u5982\u4f55\u5728excel\u4e2d\u52a0\u8f7d\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\u5e93\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u52a0\u8f7d Excel Analysis ToolPak<\/a> \uff0c\u8be5\u5de5\u5177\u5e93\u5b8c\u5168\u514d\u8d39\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5292 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/deuxsampexcel3.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\u5305\" width=\"532\" height=\"203\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa42\uff1a\u9009\u62e9\u201c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u201d\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb\u201c\u786e\u5b9a\u201d\u3002<\/strong><\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5550 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth3.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u7684\u793a\u4f8b\" width=\"499\" height=\"342\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa4 3\uff1a\u586b\u5199\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u503c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u586b\u5199<strong>\u8f93\u5165\u8303\u56f4<\/strong>\u7684\u6570\u636e\u503c\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u9009\u62e9\u8981\u7528\u4e8e<strong>\u963b\u5c3c\u56e0\u5b50 \u7684<\/strong>\u503c\uff0c\u5373 1-\u03b1\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u60f3\u4f7f\u7528 \u03b1 = 0.2\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u60a8\u7684\u963b\u5c3c\u7cfb\u6570\u5c06\u4e3a 1-0.2 = 0.8\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u9009\u62e9\u60a8\u5e0c\u671b\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u51fa\u73b0\u7684<strong>\u8f93\u51fa\u8303\u56f4<\/strong>\u3002\u6700\u597d\u5728\u5b9e\u9645\u6570\u636e\u503c\u65c1\u8fb9\u9009\u62e9\u6b64\u8f93\u51fa\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u60a8\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f7b\u677e\u5e76\u6392\u6bd4\u8f83\u5b9e\u9645\u503c\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u60f3\u67e5\u770b\u663e\u793a\u5b9e\u9645\u503c\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u7684\u56fe\u8868\uff0c\u8bf7\u9009\u4e2d<strong>\u201c\u56fe\u8868\u8f93\u51fa\u201d<\/strong>\u6846\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb\u201c\u786e\u5b9a\u201d\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5553 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth4-2.png\" alt=\"\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u793a\u4f8b\" width=\"533\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5c06\u81ea\u52a8\u51fa\u73b0\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u5217\u8868\u548c\u56fe\u8868\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5554 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth5.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\" width=\"573\" height=\"331\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u671f\u95f4\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e3a#N\/A\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u671f\u95f4\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u8ba1\u7b97\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5e73\u6ed1\u56e0\u5b50<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u60a8\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c1d\u8bd5\u4f7f\u7528\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5e73\u6ed1\u56e0\u5b50 \u03b1 \u503c\u5e76\u67e5\u770b\u5176\u5bf9\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u60a8\u4f1a\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\uff0c\u03b1 \u7684\u503c\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff08\u963b\u5c3c\u56e0\u5b50\u7684\u503c\u8d8a\u5927\uff09\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u5c31\u8d8a\u5e73\u6ed1\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5556 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth6.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u7684\u793a\u4f8b\" width=\"579\" height=\"558\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><em>\u5982\u9700\u66f4\u591a Excel \u6559\u7a0b\uff0c\u8bf7\u52a1\u5fc5\u67e5\u770b\u6211\u4eec<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u89e3\u91ca\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u5b66\u4e60\u7edf\u8ba1\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5b8c\u6574\u7684 Excel \u6307\u5357\u5217\u8868<\/a>\u3002<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u5e73\u6ed1\u201d\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u7528\u4e8e\u77ed\u671f\u9884\u6d4b\u3002 \u57fa\u672c\u601d\u60f3\u662f\uff0c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u901a\u5e38\u4e0e\u201c\u968f\u673a\u566a\u58f0\u201d\u76f8\u5173\uff0c [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1 \u2013 Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u7b80\u5355\u8bb2\u89e3\u5982\u4f55\u5728Excel\u4e2d\u5bf9\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1excel\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" 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