{"id":723,"date":"2023-07-28T23:42:23","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T23:42:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92excel\/"},"modified":"2023-07-28T23:42:23","modified_gmt":"2023-07-28T23:42:23","slug":"%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92excel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/%e9%80%bb%e8%be%91%e5%9b%9e%e5%bd%92excel\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u5728 excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/strong>\u662f\u5f53\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u672c\u6559\u7a0b\u4ecb\u7ecd\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u793a\u4f8b\uff1aExcel \u4e2d\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6b65\u9aa4\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u5bf9\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\uff0c\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u6307\u793a\u5927\u5b66\u7bee\u7403\u8fd0\u52a8\u5458\u662f\u5426\u6839\u636e GPA \u88ab\u9009\u5165 NBA\uff08\u9009\u79c0\uff1a0 = \u5426\uff0c1 = \u662f\uff09\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u5f97\u5206\u3001\u7bee\u677f\u548c\u52a9\u653b\u3002\u5b63\u8282\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7b2c 1 \u6b65\uff1a\u8f93\u5165\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u8f93\u5165\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6570\u636e\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7270 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logistiqueexcel1.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u539f\u59cb\u6570\u636e\" width=\"445\" height=\"454\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa4 2\uff1a\u8f93\u5165\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u7684\u5355\u5143\u683c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7531\u4e8e\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff08pts\u3001rebs\u3001ast\uff09\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4e3a\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u548c\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u70b9\u521b\u5efa\u5355\u5143\u683c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6bcf\u4e2a\u503c\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e3a 0.001\uff0c\u4f46\u7a0d\u540e\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5bf9\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u4f18\u5316\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7271 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logistiqueexcel2.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\" width=\"420\" height=\"440\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u5217\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u4f18\u5316\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\uff0c\u5305\u62ec logit\u3001e <sup>logit<\/sup> \u3001\u6982\u7387\u548c\u5bf9\u6570\u4f3c\u7136\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa43\uff1a\u4e3alogit\u521b\u5efa\u503c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u516c\u5f0f\u521b\u5efa logit \u5217\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7272 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logistiqueexcel3.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u65b9\u7a0b\" width=\"583\" height=\"399\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa4 4\uff1a\u4e3a e <sup>logit<\/sup>\u521b\u5efa\u503c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a e <sup>logit<\/sup>\u521b\u5efa\u503c\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7273 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logistiqueexcel4.png\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u8ba1\u7b97\" width=\"463\" height=\"392\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7b2c 5 \u6b65\uff1a\u521b\u5efa\u6982\u7387\u503c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u516c\u5f0f\u521b\u5efa\u6982\u7387\u503c\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-34053 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logexcel1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"657\" height=\"395\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u7b2c 6 \u6b65\uff1a\u521b\u5efa\u5bf9\u6570\u4f3c\u7136\u503c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4f7f\u7528\u4ee5\u4e0b\u516c\u5f0f\u521b\u5efa\u5bf9\u6570\u4f3c\u7136\u503c\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5bf9\u6570\u4f3c\u7136 = LN\uff08\u6982\u7387\uff09<\/strong><\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-34055 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logexcel2-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"636\" height=\"407\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa4 7\uff1a\u6c42\u5bf9\u6570\u6982\u7387\u4e4b\u548c\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u627e\u5230\u5bf9\u6570\u4f3c\u7136\u4e4b\u548c\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c1d\u8bd5\u6700\u5927\u5316\u4ee5\u6c42\u89e3\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-34056 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logexcel3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"658\" height=\"407\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6b65\u9aa48\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u6c42\u89e3\u5668\u6c42\u89e3\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u5c1a\u672a\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u5b89\u88c5\u6c42\u89e3\u5668\uff0c\u8bf7\u6309\u7167\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6b65\u9aa4\u64cd\u4f5c\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u201c\u6587\u4ef6\u201d<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u201c\u9009\u9879\u201d<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u52a0\u8f7d\u9879<\/strong>\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u201c\u89c4\u5212\u6c42\u89e3\u63d2\u4ef6\u201d<\/strong> \uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u201c\u524d\u5f80\u201d<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5728\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u65b0\u7a97\u53e3\u4e2d\uff0c\u9009\u4e2d<strong>Solver Add-In<\/strong>\u65c1\u8fb9\u7684\u6846\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb<strong>Go<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5b89\u88c5\u6c42\u89e3\u5668\u540e\uff0c\u8f6c\u5230<strong>\u201c\u6570\u636e\u201d<\/strong>\u9009\u9879\u5361\u4e0a\u7684<strong>\u201c\u5206\u6790\u201d<\/strong>\u7ec4\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u201c\u6c42\u89e3\u5668\u201d<\/strong> \u3002\u8f93\u5165\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u8bbe\u5b9a\u76ee\u6807\uff1a<\/strong>\u9009\u62e9\u5305\u542b\u5bf9\u6570\u6982\u7387\u4e4b\u548c\u7684\u5355\u5143\u683c H14\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u901a\u8fc7\u4fee\u6539\u53d8\u91cf\u5355\u5143\u683c\uff1a<\/strong>\u9009\u62e9\u5305\u542b\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u7684\u5355\u5143\u683c\u8303\u56f4 B15:B18\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f7f\u65e0\u7ea6\u675f\u53d8\u91cf\u975e\u8d1f\uff1a<\/strong>\u53d6\u6d88\u9009\u4e2d\u6b64\u6846\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u9009\u62e9\u6c42\u89e3\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a<\/strong>\u9009\u62e9\u975e\u7ebf\u6027GRG\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u540e\u5355\u51fb<strong>\u201c\u89e3\u51b3\u201d<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6c42\u89e3\u5668\u81ea\u52a8\u8ba1\u7b97\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u4f30\u8ba1\u503c\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-34057 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logexcel4.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"601\" height=\"394\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u9ed8\u8ba4\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u67e5\u627e\u9879\u76ee = 0 \u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5728\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u662f\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf = 1 \u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u53cd\u8f6c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u7684\u7b26\u53f7\uff1a<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-34058\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/logexcel5.jpg\" alt=\"Excel \u4e2d\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\" width=\"641\" height=\"462\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\u9879\u76ee = 1 \u7684\u6982\u7387\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e3e\u4f8b\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5047\u8bbe\u4e00\u540d\u7403\u5458\u573a\u5747\u5f97\u523014\u5206\u30014\u4e2a\u7bee\u677f\u548c5\u6b21\u52a9\u653b\u3002\u8be5\u7403\u5458\u88ab\u9009\u5165 NBA \u7684\u6982\u7387\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(\u9879\u76ee = 1) = e <sup>3.681193 + 0.112827*(14) -0.39568*(4) \u2013 0.67954*(5)<\/sup> \/ (1+e <sup>3.681193 + 0.112827*(14) -0.39568*(4) \u2013 0.67954*(5 )<\/sup> ) = <strong>0.57<\/strong> \u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6982\u7387\u5927\u4e8e 0.5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b\u8be5\u73a9\u5bb6<em>&nbsp;<\/em>\u88ab\u9009\u5165 NBA\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u76f8\u5173\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u5ca9\u77f3\u66f2\u7ebfexcel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u521b\u5efa ROC \u66f2\u7ebf\uff08\u9010\u6b65\uff09<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u662f\u5f53\u54cd\u5e94\u53d8\u91cf\u662f\u4e8c\u5143\u65f6\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u6765\u62df\u5408\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002 \u672c\u6559\u7a0b\u4ecb\u7ecd\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u3002 \u793a\u4f8b [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-11"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52 - Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u5173\u4e8e\u5982\u4f55\u5728 Excel \u4e2d\u6267\u884c\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5206\u6b65\u793a\u4f8b\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/cn\/\u903b\u8f91\u56de\u5f52excel\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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