{"id":1318,"date":"2023-07-26T21:33:23","date_gmt":"2023-07-26T21:33:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e5%8d%98%e7%b4%94%e3%81%aa-excel-%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac\/"},"modified":"2023-07-26T21:33:23","modified_gmt":"2023-07-26T21:33:23","slug":"%e5%8d%98%e7%b4%94%e3%81%aa-excel-%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e5%8d%98%e7%b4%94%e3%81%aa-excel-%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac\/","title":{"rendered":"Excel \u3067\u306e\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c: \u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u30d0\u30a4\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u4f8b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068<\/strong>\u306f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u524d\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306b\u89b3\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5024\u3068\u5358\u7d14\u306b\u7b49\u3057\u3044\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u3001\u5e74\u306e\u6700\u521d\u306e 3 \u304b\u6708\u9593\u3067\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u88fd\u54c1\u304c\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u58f2\u4e0a\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12910 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/naive_forecast1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"172\" height=\"142\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">4 \u6708\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u3001\u524d\u5e74 3 \u6708\u306e\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3068\u5358\u7d14\u306b\u7b49\u3057\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12911 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/naive_forecast2.png\" alt=\"\u7518\u3044\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"285\" height=\"172\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u5358\u7d14\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306b\u306f\u9a5a\u304f\u307b\u3069\u3046\u307e\u304f\u6a5f\u80fd\u3059\u308b\u50be\u5411\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u3001Excel \u3067\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u7684\u306a\u4f8b\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7 1: \u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5165\u529b\u3059\u308b<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u307e\u305a\u3001\u67b6\u7a7a\u306e\u4f1a\u793e\u3067 12 \u304b\u6708\u9593\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u5165\u529b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12912 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/naive_forecast3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"402\" height=\"383\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7 2: \u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3059\u308b<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306b\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u5f0f\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066\u6708\u3054\u3068\u306e\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12913 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/naive_forecast4.png\" alt=\"Excel \u3067\u306e\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"438\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7 3: \u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3059\u308b<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306e\u6e2c\u5b9a\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u308b 2 \u3064\u306e\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306a\u6307\u6a19\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3068\u304a\u308a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u8aa4\u5dee (\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c6\u30fc\u30b8)<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7d76\u5bfe\u504f\u5dee\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u3059<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u56f3\u306f\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u8aa4\u5dee\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12914 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/naive_forecast5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"568\" height=\"365\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u8aa4\u5dee\u306f<strong>9.9%<\/strong>\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u56f3\u306f\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u504f\u5dee\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12915 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/naive_forecast6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"576\" height=\"383\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7d76\u5bfe\u5e73\u5747\u504f\u5dee\u306f<strong>3.45<\/strong>\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u6709\u7528\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u4ed6\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u3001\u6e2c\u5b9a\u7cbe\u5ea6\u304c\u826f\u3044\u304b\u60aa\u3044\u304b\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u306f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u524d\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306b\u89b3\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5024\u3068\u5358\u7d14\u306b\u7b49\u3057\u3044\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u3001\u5e74\u306e\u6700\u521d\u306e 3 \u304b\u6708\u9593\u3067\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u88fd\u54c1\u304c\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u58f2\u4e0a\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 4 \u6708\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u3001\u524d\u5e74 3 \u6708\u306e\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3068\u5358\u7d14\u306b\u7b49\u3057\u304f 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