{"id":1456,"date":"2023-07-26T07:41:17","date_gmt":"2023-07-26T07:41:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e5%85%a8%e7%a2%ba%e7%8e%87%e3%81%ae%e6%b3%95%e5%89%87\/"},"modified":"2023-07-26T07:41:17","modified_gmt":"2023-07-26T07:41:17","slug":"%e5%85%a8%e7%a2%ba%e7%8e%87%e3%81%ae%e6%b3%95%e5%89%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e5%85%a8%e7%a2%ba%e7%8e%87%e3%81%ae%e6%b3%95%e5%89%87\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5168\u4f53\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u6cd5\u5247: \u5b9a\u7fa9\u3068\u4f8b"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u78ba\u7387\u8ad6\u3067\u306f\u3001<strong>\u7dcf\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u6cd5\u5247\u306f<\/strong>\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8<em>A<\/em>\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u76f4\u63a5\u5206\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8<em>B<\/em> <sub>1<\/sub> \u3001 <em>B<\/em> <sub>2<\/sub> \u3001 <em>B<\/em> <sub>3<\/sub> \u2026 \u304c\u5206\u5272\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8<em>A<\/em>\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u306e\u306b\u4fbf\u5229\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/\u30b5\u30f3\u30d5\u309a\u30eb\u30b9\u30d8\u309a\u30fc\u30b91\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u7a7a\u9593<\/a><em>S<\/em>\u306e<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u6cd5\u5f8b\u3067\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3053\u3068\u304c\u898f\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5168\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u6cd5\u5247<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><em>B<\/em> <sub>1<\/sub> \u3001 <em>B<\/em> <sub>2<\/sub> \u3001 <em>B<\/em> <sub>3<\/sub> \u2026 \u304c\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u7a7a\u9593<em>S<\/em>\u306e\u5206\u5272\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8<em>A<\/em>\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P( <em>A<\/em> ) = \u03a3P( <em>A<\/em> | <em>Bi<\/em> <sub>)<\/sub> *P( <em>Bi<\/em> <sub>)<\/sub><\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u6cd5\u5247\u3092\u7406\u89e3\u3059\u308b\u6700\u3082\u7c21\u5358\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u306f\u3001\u7c21\u5358\u306a\u4f8b\u3092\u6319\u3052\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7bb1\u306e\u4e2d\u306b\u6b21\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u304c\u5165\u3063\u305f\u888b\u304c 2 \u3064\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30d0\u30c3\u30b0 1:<\/strong>\u8d64\u3044\u30d3\u30fc\u7389 7 \u500b\u3068\u7dd1\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389 3 \u500b<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30d0\u30c3\u30b0 2:<\/strong>\u8d64\u3044\u30d3\u30fc\u7389 2 \u500b\u3068\u7dd1\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389 8 \u500b<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30d0\u30c3\u30b0\u306e 1 \u3064\u3092\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u629e\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30d0\u30c3\u30b0\u304b\u3089\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u3092\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u629e\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u7dd1\u8272\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u3069\u308c\u304f\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3059\u304b?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u4f8b\u3067\u306f\u3001P( <em>G<\/em> ) = \u7dd1\u8272\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u304c\u9078\u629e\u3055\u308c\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u95a2\u5fc3\u3092\u6301\u3064\u306e\u306f\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3092\u76f4\u63a5\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4ee3\u308f\u308a\u306b\u3001 <em>B<\/em> <sub>i \u304c<\/sub>\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u7a7a\u9593<em>S<\/em>\u306e\u5206\u5272\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3059\u308b\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8<em>B<\/em>\u304c\u4e0e\u3048\u3089\u308c\u305f\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3001 <em>G<\/em>\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u4ed8\u304d\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4f8b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u6761\u4ef6\u4ed8\u304d\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(G| <sub>B1<\/sub> ) = 3\/10 = 0.3<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(G| <sub>B2<\/sub> ) = 8\/10 = 0.8<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001\u5408\u8a08\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u6cd5\u5247\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u7dd1\u8272\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u304c\u9078\u629e\u3055\u308c\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(G) = \u03a3P(G|B <sub>i<\/sub> )*P(Bi <sub>)<\/sub><\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(G) = P(G|B <sub>1<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>1<\/sub> ) + P(G|B <sub>2<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>2<\/sub> )<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(G) = (0.3)*(0.5) + (0.8)*(0.5)<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(G) = <strong>0.55<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30d0\u30c3\u30b0\u306e 1 \u3064\u3092\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u629e\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30d0\u30c3\u30b0\u304b\u3089\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u3092\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u629e\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u7dd1\u8272\u306e\u30d3\u30fc\u7389\u304c\u9078\u629e\u3055\u308c\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f<strong>0.55<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e 2 \u3064\u306e\u4f8b\u3092\u8aad\u3093\u3067\u3001\u5408\u8a08\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u6cd5\u5247\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u7406\u89e3\u3092\u6df1\u3081\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f8b 1: \u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">A \u793e\u306f\u3001\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u306e 80% \u3092\u81ea\u52d5\u8eca\u5de5\u5834\u306b\u4f9b\u7d66\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u6b20\u9665\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5224\u660e\u3057\u305f\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u306f 1% \u3060\u3051\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002 B \u793e\u306f\u6b8b\u308a\u306e 20% \u306e\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u81ea\u52d5\u8eca\u4fee\u7406\u5de5\u5834\u306b\u4f9b\u7d66\u3057\u30013% \u306e\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u6b20\u9665\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u5224\u660e\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14445 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/loitot1.png\" alt=\"\u5168\u78ba\u7387\u5247\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"363\" height=\"302\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u9867\u5ba2\u304c\u81ea\u52d5\u8eca\u4fee\u7406\u5de5\u5834\u304b\u3089\u7121\u4f5c\u70ba\u306b\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u8cfc\u5165\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u305d\u306e\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u6b20\u9665\u304c\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f\u3069\u306e\u304f\u3089\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b?<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P( <em>D<\/em> ) = \u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u306b\u6b20\u9665\u304c\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3001 <em>P(B<\/em> <sub>i<\/sub> ) \u3092\u305d\u306e\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u304c\u3044\u305a\u308c\u304b\u306e\u4f1a\u793e\u304b\u3089\u63d0\u4f9b\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u6b20\u9665\u306e\u3042\u308b\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u8cfc\u5165\u3059\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(D) = \u03a3P(D|B <sub>i<\/sub> )*P(Bi <sub>)<\/sub><\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(D) = P(D|B <sub>1<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>1<\/sub> ) + P(D|B <sub>2<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>2<\/sub> )<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(D) = (0.01)*(0.80) + (0.03)*(0.20)<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(D) = <strong>0.014<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u81ea\u52d5\u8eca\u30b9\u30c8\u30a2\u304b\u3089\u30a6\u30a3\u30b8\u30a7\u30c3\u30c8\u3092\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u8cfc\u5165\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u6b20\u9665\u54c1\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f<strong>0.014<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f8b 2: \u68ee\u6797<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u68eeA\u306f\u3001\u3042\u308b\u516c\u5712\u306e\u7dcf\u9762\u7a4d\u306e50\uff05\u3092\u5360\u3081\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u3053\u306e\u68ee\u306b\u3042\u308b\u690d\u7269\u306e20\uff05\u306f\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3059\u3002\u68ee\u6797 B \u306f\u7dcf\u9762\u7a4d\u306e 30% \u3092\u5360\u3081\u3001\u305d\u3053\u306b\u542b\u307e\u308c\u308b\u690d\u7269\u306e 40% \u306f\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3059\u3002\u68ee\u6797 C \u306f\u9818\u571f\u306e\u6b8b\u308a 20% \u3092\u5360\u3081\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u3053\u3067\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u690d\u7269\u306e 70% \u306f\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14447 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/loitot2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"343\" height=\"263\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3082\u3057\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u304c\u3053\u306e\u516c\u5712\u306b\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u5730\u9762\u306b\u843d\u3061\u3066\u3044\u308b\u690d\u7269\u3092\u62fe\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u3069\u306e\u304f\u3089\u3044\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304b?<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P( <em>P<\/em> ) = \u690d\u7269\u304c\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3001 <em>P(B <sub>i<\/sub> )<\/em>\u3092 3 \u3064\u306e\u68ee\u6797\u306e\u3044\u305a\u308c\u304b\u306b\u5165\u3063\u305f\u78ba\u7387\u3068\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u9078\u629e\u3055\u308c\u305f\u690d\u7269\u304c\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(P) = \u03a3P(P|B <sub>i<\/sub> )*P(Bi <sub>)<\/sub><\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(P) = P(P|B <sub>1<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>1<\/sub> ) + P(P|B <sub>2<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>2<\/sub> ) + P(P|B <sub>3<\/sub> )*P(B <sub>3<\/sub> )<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(P) = (0.20)*(0.50) + (0.40)*(0.30) + (0.70)*(0.20)<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(P) = <strong>0.36<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5730\u4e0a\u304b\u3089\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0\u306b\u690d\u7269\u3092\u9078\u629e\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u305d\u308c\u304c\u6709\u6bd2\u3067\u3042\u308b\u78ba\u7387\u306f<strong>0.36<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u8ffd\u52a0\u30ea\u30bd\u30fc\u30b9<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u30c8\u30d4\u30c3\u30af\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u8ffd\u52a0\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u5e73\u5747\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u6c42\u3081\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u6a19\u6e96\u504f\u5dee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u306e\u6a19\u6e96\u504f\u5dee\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/a><br \/>\u78ba\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u8a08\u7b97\u6a5f<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u78ba\u7387\u8ad6\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7dcf\u78ba\u7387\u306e\u6cd5\u5247\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8A\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u304c\u76f4\u63a5\u5206\u304b\u3089\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8B 1 \u3001 B 2 \u3001 B 3 \u2026 \u304c\u5206\u5272\u3092\u5f62\u6210\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3001\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8A\u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u308b\u306e\u306b\u4fbf\u5229\u306a\u65b9\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u7a7a\u9593S\u306e \u3053 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