{"id":1717,"date":"2023-07-25T06:28:26","date_gmt":"2023-07-25T06:28:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e5%9c%b0%e5%9b%b3%e3%82%92%e3%81%a8%e3%82%99%e3%81%86%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%88%e3%81%99%e3%82%8b%e3%81%8b\/"},"modified":"2023-07-25T06:28:26","modified_gmt":"2023-07-25T06:28:26","slug":"%e5%9c%b0%e5%9b%b3%e3%82%92%e3%81%a8%e3%82%99%e3%81%86%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%88%e3%81%99%e3%82%8b%e3%81%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e5%9c%b0%e5%9b%b3%e3%82%92%e3%81%a8%e3%82%99%e3%81%86%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%88%e3%81%99%e3%82%8b%e3%81%8b\/","title":{"rendered":"Mape \u5024\u306e\u89e3\u91c8\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u6700\u3082\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30e1\u30c8\u30ea\u30af\u30b9\u306e 1 \u3064\u306f<strong>\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u8aa4\u5dee<\/strong>( <strong>MAPE<\/strong>\u3068\u7565\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3088\u304f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059) \u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a08\u7b97\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE<\/strong> = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\u5b9f\u969b \u2013 \u4e88\u6e2c| \/ |\u5b9f\u969b|) * 100<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u03a3<\/strong> \u2013 \u300c\u548c\u300d\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u8a18\u53f7<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>n<\/strong> \u2013 \u30b5\u30f3\u30d7\u30eb\u30b5\u30a4\u30ba<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>actual<\/strong> \u2013 \u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5024<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4e88\u6e2c<\/strong>\u2013 \u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE \u306f\u89e3\u91c8\u304c\u5bb9\u6613\u306a\u305f\u3081\u3001\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070<\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3001MAPE \u5024 14% \u306f\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3068\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5024\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5dee\u304c 14% \u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u4f8b\u306f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e MAPE \u5024\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3057\u3066\u89e3\u91c8\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f8b: \u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e MAPE \u5024\u3092\u89e3\u91c8\u3059\u308b<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u98df\u6599\u54c1\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u304c\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6b21\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u306f\u300112 \u9023\u7d9a\u306e\u8ca9\u58f2\u671f\u9593\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u8ca9\u58f2\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u8ca9\u58f2\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-16913 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape_interpret1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"215\" height=\"347\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u5f0f\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5404\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u7d76\u5bfe\u8aa4\u5dee\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c6\u30fc\u30b8\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7d76\u5bfe\u8aa4\u5dee\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c6\u30fc\u30b8 = |\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c| \/ |\u672c\u7269| *100<\/span> <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-16914 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape_interpret2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"353\" height=\"329\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306b\u3001\u7d76\u5bfe\u30a8\u30e9\u30fc\u306e\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c6\u30fc\u30b8\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-16915 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/mape_interpret3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"358\" height=\"365\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e MAPE \u306f<strong>5.12%<\/strong>\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u4e88\u6e2c\u58f2\u4e0a\u3068\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u306e\u9593\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u8aa4\u5dee\u304c<strong>5.12%<\/strong>\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u308c\u304c<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MAPE \u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u9069\u5207\u306a\u5024<\/a>\u3067\u3042\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u306f\u3001\u696d\u754c\u6a19\u6e96\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u6c7a\u307e\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6a19\u6e96\u7684\u306a\u98df\u54c1\u696d\u754c\u304c\u751f\u7523\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e MAPE \u5024\u304c 2% \u3067\u3042\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u3053\u306e\u5024 5.12% \u306f\u9ad8\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u9006\u306b\u3001\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306e\u696d\u754c\u306e\u98df\u6599\u54c1\u4e88\u6e2c\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u304c 10% \uff5e 15% \u306e MAPE \u5024\u3092\u751f\u6210\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408\u30015.12% \u3068\u3044\u3046 MAPE \u5024\u306f\u4f4e\u3044\u3068\u307f\u306a\u3055\u308c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306f\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306b\u512a\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5404\u7a2e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306eMAPE\u5024\u306e\u6bd4\u8f03<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE \u306f\u3001\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u9069\u5408\u6027\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306b\u7279\u306b\u5f79\u7acb\u3061\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u305f\u3068\u3048\u3070\u3001\u98df\u6599\u54c1\u5e97\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u304c\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u3001\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u306e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e2d\u304b\u3089\u53ef\u80fd\u306a\u9650\u308a\u6700\u826f\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3044\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u305d\u308c\u3089\u304c 3 \u3064\u306e\u7570\u306a\u308b\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306b\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u3001\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3059\u308b MAPE \u5024\u3092\u898b\u3064\u3051\u305f\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb 1 \u306e MAPE: <strong>14.5%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb 2 MAPE: <strong>16.7%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb 3 MAPE: <strong>9.8%<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb 3 \u306f MAPE \u5024\u304c\u6700\u3082\u4f4e\u304f\u30013 \u3064\u306e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u6700\u3082\u9ad8\u3044\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3067\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u8ffd\u52a0\u30ea\u30bd\u30fc\u30b9<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/\u30a8\u30af\u30bb\u30eb\u30ab\u30fc\u30c8\u3099\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Excel \u3067 MAPE \u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/r\u30ab\u30fc\u30c8\u3099\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">R\u3067MAPE\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/\u30cf\u309a\u30a4\u30bd\u30f3\u30ab\u30fc\u30c8\u3099\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Python \u3067 MAPE \u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/a><br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/\u30ab\u30fc\u30c8\u3099\u96fb\u5353\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">MAPE\u8a08\u7b97\u6a5f<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u3092\u6e2c\u5b9a\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u6700\u3082\u4e00\u822c\u7684\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u308b\u30e1\u30c8\u30ea\u30af\u30b9\u306e 1 \u3064\u306f\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u7d76\u5bfe\u30d1\u30fc\u30bb\u30f3\u30c8\u8aa4\u5dee( MAPE\u3068\u7565\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3088\u304f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059) \u3067\u3059\u3002 \u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a08\u7b97\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002 MAPE = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\u5b9f\u969b  [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-16"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MAPE \u5024\u3092\u89e3\u91c8\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5 - Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u3053\u306e\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u306e MAPE \u5024\u3092\u89e3\u91c8\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u4f8b\u3092\u6319\u3052\u3066\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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