{"id":586,"date":"2023-07-29T10:06:39","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T10:06:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/excel%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e9%96%93%e9%9a%94\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T10:06:39","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T10:06:39","slug":"excel%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e9%96%93%e9%9a%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/excel%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e9%96%93%e9%9a%94\/","title":{"rendered":"Excel \u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/-10\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5358\u7d14\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u306f\u3001<\/a>\u4e88\u6e2c\u5909\u6570 x \u3068\u5fdc\u7b54\u5909\u6570 y \u306e\u9593\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u5b9a\u91cf\u5316\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3067\u304d\u308b\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5358\u7d14\u306a\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001x \u3068 y \u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u8868\u3059\u300c\u6700\u9069\u306a\u76f4\u7dda\u300d\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a18\u8ff0\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0177 = b <sub>0<\/sub> + b <sub>1<\/sub> x<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0177 \u306f\u5fdc\u7b54\u5909\u6570\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3067\u3059<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">b <sub>0 \u306f<\/sub>y \u5207\u7247\u3067\u3059<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">b <sub>1<\/sub>\u306f\u56de\u5e30\u4fc2\u6570\u3067\u3059<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">x \u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u5b50\u5909\u6570\u306e\u5024\u3067\u3059<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6700\u9069\u76f4\u7dda\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066\u3001\u7279\u5b9a\u306e x <sub>0<\/sub>\u306e\u5024\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b<strong>\u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593<\/strong>\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u6bcd\u96c6\u56e3\u5185\u306e y \u306e\u771f\u306e\u5024\u304c 95% \u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u4e00\u81f4\u3059\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024 \u0177 <sub>0<\/sub>\u306e\u5468\u56f2\u306e\u533a\u9593\u3067\u3059\u3002 x <sub>0<\/sub>\u306b\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3059\u308b \u306f\u3053\u306e\u533a\u9593\u306b\u542b\u307e\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u5024 x <sub>0<\/sub>\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u5f0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a18\u8ff0\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0177 <sub>0<\/sub> +\/- t <sub>\u03b1\/2,df=n-2<\/sub> * se<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">se = S <sub>yx<\/sub> \u221a(1 + 1\/n + (x <sub>0<\/sub> \u2013 <span style=\"text-decoration: overline;\">x<\/span> ) <sup>2<\/sup> \/SS <sub>x<\/sub> )<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6570\u5f0f\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u96e3\u3057\u305d\u3046\u306b\u898b\u3048\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001Excel \u3067\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u306e\u306f\u7c21\u5358\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6b21\u306b\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6570\u5f0f\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066 Excel \u3067\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u5024\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u4f8b\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f8b: Excel \u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30bb\u30c3\u30c8\u306f\u300115 \u4eba\u306e\u7570\u306a\u308b\u5b66\u751f\u304c\u53d6\u5f97\u3057\u305f\u8a66\u9a13\u306e\u30b9\u30b3\u30a2\u3068\u5b66\u7fd2\u6642\u9593\u6570\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5374 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/intervalle_de-prediction1.png\" alt=\"Excel \u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u30bb\u30c3\u30c8\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"464\" height=\"413\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5024 x <sub>0<\/sub> = 3 \u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066 95% \u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u3001\u8a66\u9a13\u306e\u30b9\u30b3\u30a2\u304c 95% \u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u3053\u306e\u533a\u9593\u5185\u306b\u52c9\u5f37\u3059\u308b\u5b66\u751f\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u533a\u9593\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3057\u305f\u3044\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 3\u6642\u9593\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306e\u30b9\u30af\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30b7\u30e7\u30c3\u30c8\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u3092\u53d6\u5f97\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u5024\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6ce8:<\/strong>\u5217<em>F<\/em>\u306e\u6570\u5f0f\u306f\u3001<\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5217<em>E<\/em>\u306e\u5024\u304c\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b<\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u8a08\u7b97\u3055\u308c\u305f\u304b\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5377 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/prediction_intervalle2-1.png\" alt=\"Excel \u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\" width=\"570\" height=\"439\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">x <sub>0<\/sub> = 3 \u306e\u5024\u306e 95% \u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593\u306f<strong>(74.64, 86.90)<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3064\u307e\u308a\u30013 \u6642\u9593\u52c9\u5f37\u3057\u305f\u751f\u5f92\u306f 74.64 \uff5e 86.90 \u306e\u30b9\u30b3\u30a2\u3092\u53d6\u5f97\u3059\u308b\u3068 95% \u306e\u78ba\u7387\u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u308b\u8a08\u7b97\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u3044\u304f\u3064\u304b\u306e\u30e1\u30e2:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">t <sub>\u03b1\/2,df=n-2 \u306e t \u81e8\u754c\u5024\u3092\u8a08\u7b97\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001<\/sub> 95% \u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u306e\u3067\u3001\u03b1\/2 = 0.05\/2 = 0.25 \u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694 (99% \u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u306a\u3069) \u3092\u9ad8\u304f\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001\u9593\u9694\u304c\u5e83\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6ce8\u610f\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002\u9006\u306b\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u304f\u306a\u308b\u3068 (90% \u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u306a\u3069)\u3001\u9593\u9694\u306f\u72ed\u304f\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5f0f<strong>=FORECAST()<\/strong>\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066 \u0177 <sub>0<\/sub>\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3092\u53d6\u5f97\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u5f0f<strong>=FORECAST.LINEAR() \u306f<\/strong>\u307e\u3063\u305f\u304f\u540c\u3058\u5024\u3092\u8fd4\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7d71\u8a08\u5b66\u306b\u304a\u3044\u3066\u3001\u5358\u7d14\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u306f\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u5909\u6570 x \u3068\u5fdc\u7b54\u5909\u6570 y \u306e\u9593\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u5b9a\u91cf\u5316\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3067\u304d\u308b\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u5358\u7d14\u306a\u7dda\u5f62\u56de\u5e30\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3001x \u3068 y \u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u3092\u8868\u3059\u300c\u6700\u9069\u306a\u76f4\u7dda\u300d\u304c\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u8a18\u8ff0\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-16"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Excel \u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u9593\u9694\u3092\u69cb\u7bc9\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5 - Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Excel \u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u533a\u9593\u3092\u4f5c\u6210\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u30d0\u30a4\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7\u306e\u4f8b\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u8aac\u660e\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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