{"id":597,"date":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%b9%b3%e6%bb%91%e6%b3%95%e3%82%a8%e3%82%af%e3%82%bb%e3%83%ab\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:16:51","slug":"%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%b9%b3%e6%bb%91%e6%b3%95%e3%82%a8%e3%82%af%e3%82%bb%e3%83%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%b9%b3%e6%bb%91%e6%b3%95%e3%82%a8%e3%82%af%e3%82%bb%e3%83%ab\/","title":{"rendered":"Excel \u3067\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u306f\u3001<\/strong>\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u300c\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u300d\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306a\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u306f\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5834\u5408\u300c\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0 \u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u300d\u304c\u95a2\u9023\u4ed8\u3051\u3089\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5c71\u3068\u8c37\u304c\u751f\u3058\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u3092\u9069\u7528\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u5c71\u3068\u8c37\u3092\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u3057\u3001\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u771f\u306e\u6839\u672c\u7684\u306a\u50be\u5411\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5547 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth2.png\" alt=\"Excel \u306e\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\" width=\"448\" height=\"270\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u3092\u9069\u7528\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306a\u5f0f\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u3068\u304a\u308a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <strong><span style=\"color: #000000;\">F <sub>t<\/sub> = \u03b1y <sub>t-1<\/sub> + (1 \u2013 \u03b1) F <sub>t-1<\/sub><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u91d1\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>F <sub>t<\/sub><\/strong> = \u73fe\u5728\u306e\u671f\u9593<em>t<\/em>\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u03b1<\/strong> = \u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u5b9a\u6570\u306e\u5024 (0 \uff5e 1)<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>y<\/strong> <sub><strong>t-1<\/strong><\/sub> = \u524d\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5024<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>F <sub>t-1<\/sub><\/strong> = \u524d\u671f\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024<em>t-1<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u30a2\u30eb\u30d5\u30a1\u5024\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u307b\u3069\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u6ed1\u3089\u304b\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u3001Excel \u306e\u7d44\u307f\u8fbc\u307f\u95a2\u6570\u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3057\u3066\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u4f8b: Excel \u3067\u306e\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u7279\u5b9a\u306e\u4f01\u696d\u306e 10 \u8ca9\u58f2\u671f\u9593\u306e\u58f2\u4e0a\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6b21\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf \u30bb\u30c3\u30c8\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5546 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth1.png\" alt=\"Excel \u3067\u306e\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"524\" height=\"533\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u3053\u306e\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u3092\u9069\u7528\u3059\u308b\u306b\u306f\u3001\u6b21\u306e\u624b\u9806\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7 1: \u300c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5206\u6790\u300d\u30dc\u30bf\u30f3\u3092\u30af\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e0a\u90e8\u306e\u30ea\u30dc\u30f3\u306b\u6cbf\u3063\u3066\u300c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u300d\u30bf\u30d6\u306b\u79fb\u52d5\u3057\u3001\u300c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5206\u6790\u300d\u30dc\u30bf\u30f3\u3092\u30af\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30dc\u30bf\u30f3\u304c\u8868\u793a\u3055\u308c\u306a\u3044\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001\u6700\u521d\u306b<a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/excel\u3066\u3099\u5206\u6790\u30c4\u30fc\u30eb\u30cf\u309a\u30c3\u30af\u3092\u30ed\u30fc\u30c8\u3099\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Excel Analysis ToolPak \u3092\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u3059\u308b<\/a>\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u5b8c\u5168\u306b\u7121\u6599\u3067\u4f7f\u7528\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5292 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/deuxsampexcel3.png\" alt=\"Excel \u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5206\u6790\u30c4\u30fc\u30eb\u30ad\u30c3\u30c8\" width=\"532\" height=\"203\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7 2: \u300c\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u300d\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u9078\u629e\u3057\u3001\u300cOK\u300d\u3092\u30af\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5550 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth3.png\" alt=\"Excel \u3067\u306e\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"499\" height=\"342\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u30b9\u30c6\u30c3\u30d7 3: \u5fc5\u8981\u306a\u5024\u3092\u5165\u529b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5165\u529b\u7bc4\u56f2<\/strong>\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5024\u3092\u5165\u529b\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>[\u6e1b\u8870\u7387]<\/strong>\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u5024 (1-\u03b1) \u3092\u9078\u629e\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u03b1 = 0.2 \u3092\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u6e1b\u8870\u4fc2\u6570\u306f 1-0.2 = 0.8 \u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3092\u8868\u793a\u3059\u308b<strong>\u51fa\u529b\u7bc4\u56f2<\/strong>\u3092\u9078\u629e\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5024\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3092\u4e26\u3079\u3066\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u6bd4\u8f03\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u5024\u306e\u3059\u3050\u96a3\u306b\u3053\u306e\u51fa\u529b\u7bc4\u56f2\u3092\u9078\u629e\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u304a\u52e7\u3081\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5024\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3092\u542b\u3080\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u3092\u8868\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3044\u5834\u5408\u306f\u3001 <strong>\u300c\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u51fa\u529b\u300d<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30dc\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u3092\u30c1\u30a7\u30c3\u30af\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u6b21\u306b\u300cOK\u300d\u3092\u30af\u30ea\u30c3\u30af\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5553 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth4-2.png\" alt=\"\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"533\" height=\"370\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u3068\u30b0\u30e9\u30d5\u304c\u81ea\u52d5\u7684\u306b\u8868\u793a\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5554 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth5.png\" alt=\"Excel \u306e\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\" width=\"573\" height=\"331\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u306e\u8a08\u7b97\u306b\u4f7f\u7528\u3059\u308b\u524d\u306e\u671f\u9593\u304c\u306a\u3044\u305f\u3081\u3001\u6700\u521d\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306f #N\/A \u306b\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u6ce8\u610f\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u4fc2\u6570\u3092\u8a66\u3057\u3066\u307f\u308b<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u4fc2\u6570 \u03b1 \u306e\u3055\u307e\u3056\u307e\u306a\u5024\u3092\u8a66\u3057\u3066\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u03b1 \u306e\u5024\u304c\u5c0f\u3055\u3044\u307b\u3069 (\u6e1b\u8870\u4fc2\u6570\u306e\u5024\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u307b\u3069)\u3001\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u306f\u3088\u308a\u6ed1\u3089\u304b\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5556 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/expsmooth6.png\" alt=\"Excel \u3067\u306e\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u306e\u4f8b\" width=\"579\" height=\"558\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><em>Excel \u30c1\u30e5\u30fc\u30c8\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb\u306e\u8a73\u7d30\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u3001 <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ja\/-10\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Excel \u30ac\u30a4\u30c9\u306e\u5b8c\u5168\u306a\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u3092<\/a>\u5fc5\u305a\u3054\u78ba\u8a8d\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u306f\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u300c\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u300d\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u624b\u6cd5\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u57fa\u672c\u7684\u306a\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u306f\u3001\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u306f\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5834\u5408\u300c\u30e9\u30f3\u30c0\u30e0 \u30ce\u30a4\u30ba\u300d\u304c\u95a2\u9023\u4ed8\u3051\u3089\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306e\u5c71\u3068\u8c37\u304c\u751f\u3058\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u6307\u6570\u5e73 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-16"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Excel \u3067\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u6cd5\u3092\u5b9f\u884c\u3059\u308b\u65b9\u6cd5 \u2013 Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Excel\u3067\u6642\u7cfb\u5217\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u6307\u6570\u5e73\u6ed1\u5316\u3092\u884c\u3046\u65b9\u6cd5\u3092\u7c21\u5358\u306b\u89e3\u8aac\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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