{"id":1317,"date":"2023-07-26T21:39:57","date_gmt":"2023-07-26T21:39:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%8c%e1%85%a9%e1%87%82%e1%84%8b%e1%85%b3%e1%86%ab-%e1%84%8f%e1%85%a1%e1%84%83%e1%85%b3%e1%84%80%e1%85%a1-%e1%84%86%e1%85%af%e1%84%8b%e1%85%a3\/"},"modified":"2023-07-26T21:39:57","modified_gmt":"2023-07-26T21:39:57","slug":"%e1%84%8c%e1%85%a9%e1%87%82%e1%84%8b%e1%85%b3%e1%86%ab-%e1%84%8f%e1%85%a1%e1%84%83%e1%85%b3%e1%84%80%e1%85%a1-%e1%84%86%e1%85%af%e1%84%8b%e1%85%a3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%8c%e1%85%a9%e1%87%82%e1%84%8b%e1%85%b3%e1%86%ab-%e1%84%8f%e1%85%a1%e1%84%83%e1%85%b3%e1%84%80%e1%85%a1-%e1%84%86%e1%85%af%e1%84%8b%e1%85%a3\/","title":{"rendered":"Mape\uc758 \uc88b\uc740 \uac00\uce58\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uce21\uc815\ud56d\ubaa9 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub294 <strong>\ud3c9\uade0 \uc808\ub300 \ubc31\ubd84\uc728 \uc624\ucc28\ub97c<\/strong> \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 <strong>MAPE<\/strong> \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE<\/strong> = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\uc2e4\uc81c \u2013 \uc608\uce21| \/ |\uc2e4\uc81c|) * 100<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uae08:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u03a3<\/strong> \u2013 &#8220;\ud569\uacc4&#8221;\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub294 \ud654\ub824\ud55c \uae30\ud638<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>n<\/strong> \u2013 \ud45c\ubcf8 \ud06c\uae30<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>real<\/strong> \u2013 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uac12<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\uc608\uce21<\/strong> \u2013 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uac12<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE\ub294 \ud574\uc11d\uacfc \uc124\uba85\uc774 \uc27d\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ud754\ud788 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 MAPE \uac12\uc774 8%\ub77c\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc608\uce21\uac12\uacfc \uc2e4\uc81c\uac12\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 8%\ub77c\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774 \uce21\uc815\ud56d\ubaa9\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \ub54c \ubb3b\ub294 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc9c8\ubb38 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><em><strong>MAPE\uc758 \uc88b\uc740 \uac00\uce58\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ub9cc\uc871\uc2a4\ub7fd\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c \ub300\ub2f5\uc740 <strong>\ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ubb3c\ub860 MAPE \uac12\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744\uc218\ub85d \uc88b\uc9c0\ub9cc, &#8220;\uc88b\uc74c&#8221; \ub610\ub294 &#8220;\ub098\uc068&#8221;\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc815\uc758\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uac12\uc740 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0b0\uc5c5\uc758 \uc885\ub958<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ub2e8\uc21c \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud55c MAPE \uac12<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc694\uc18c\ub97c \uc2ec\uce35\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE\ub294 \uc5c5\uc885\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e4\ub985\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uae30\uc5c5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc81c\ud488 \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc608\uce21\uc744 \uc0dd\uc131\ud55c \ub2e4\uc74c MAPE\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc608\uce21\uc758 \uc815\ud655\uc131\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uac00 \ub9ce\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ubd88\ud589\ud558\uac8c\ub3c4 \ube44\uc988\ub2c8\uc2a4 \uc720\ud615\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 &#8220;\ud45c\uc900&#8221; MAPE \uac12\uc740 \uc5c6\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ubcc0\uacbd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \ud68c\uc0ac\ub294 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uc608\uce21 \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uac00\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc544\ub9c8\ub3c4 3% \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc758 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ub0ae\uc740 MAPE\ub97c \uc0dd\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ud504\ub85c\ubaa8\uc158\uacfc \ud2b9\ubcc4 \uc81c\uc548\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ub2e4\ub978 \uae30\uc5c5\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc218\uc694\uac00 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub0a8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud06c\uac8c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9c0\ubbc0\ub85c \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \uc218\uc694\ub97c \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \uacaa\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \ud574\ub2f9 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 MAPE\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uac00\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE\uc758 &#8220;\uc0b0\uc5c5 \ud45c\uc900&#8221;\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud68c\uc758\uc801\uc774\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE\ub97c \uac04\ub2e8\ud55c \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uacfc \ube44\uad50<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ubaa8\ub378\uc758 MAPE\ub97c \uc784\uc758\uc758 &#8220;\uc88b\uc740&#8221; \uac12\uacfc \ube44\uad50\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 MAPE\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc798 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \ub2e8\uc21c \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>1. \ud3c9\uade0 \uc608\uce21 \ubc29\ubc95.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc720\ud615\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uac12\uc774 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc774\uc804 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac04\ub2e8\ud788 \uc608\uce21\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \uc9c0\ub098\uce58\uac8c \ub2e8\uc21c\ud574 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c\ub294 \uc88b\uc740 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc5bb\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><b>2. \uc21c\uc9c4\ud55c \uc608\uce21 \ubc29\ubc95.<\/b><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc720\ud615\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c \uae30\uac04\uc758 \uac00\uce58\uac00 \uc774\uc804 \uae30\uac04\uacfc \ub3d9\uc77c\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9d0\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uac04\ub2e8\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub180\ub77c\uc6b8 \uc815\ub3c4\ub85c \uc798 \uc791\ub3d9\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud560 \ub54c \ud574\ub2f9 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 MAPE\ub97c \uc774 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uac04\ub2e8\ud55c \uc608\uce21 \ubc29\ubc95\uc758 MAPE\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0c8 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 MAPE\uac00 \uc774 \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \ubc29\ubc95\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud06c\uac8c \uc88b\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uba74 \uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uc720\uc6a9\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \uc0dd\uac01\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9 \uc0dd\uac01\ub4e4<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE\ub294 \ub110\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uace0 \ud574\uc11d\ud558\uae30 \uc27d\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc5d0\ub294 \uba87 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \ub2e8\uc810\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>1.<\/strong> \uc808\ub300 \ubc31\ubd84\uc728 \uc624\ucc28 \uacc4\uc0b0 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740 |actual-forecast|\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \/ |\uc9c4\uc9dc| \uc774\ub294 \uc2e4\uc81c \uac12 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub77c\ub3c4 0\uc774 \ub418\uba74 \uc124\uc815\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">2. MAPE\ub294 \uc6a9\ub7c9\uc774 \uc801\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\ub294 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \uc548 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ud488\ubaa9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc2e4\uc81c \uc218\uc694\uac00 2\uc774\uace0 \uc608\uce21\uc774 1\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc808\ub300 \ubc31\ubd84\uc728 \uc624\ub958 \uac12\uc740 |2-1|\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \/ |2| = 50%, \uc608\uce21\uc774 1\ub2e8\uc704\ub9cc \ubc97\uc5b4\ub098\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc608\uce21 \uc624\ub958\uac00 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ub192\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0a9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE\uc758 \uc7a0\uc7ac\uc801\uc778 \ub300\uc548\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc808\ub300 \ud3b8\ucc28\uc640 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc81c\uacf1 \uc624\ucc28\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\ucd94\uac00 \ub9ac\uc18c\uc2a4<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u110b\u1166\u11a8\u1109\u1166\u11af-\u110f\u1161\u1103\u1173\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Excel\uc5d0\uc11c MAPE\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/r-\u110f\u1161\u1103\u1173\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">R\uc5d0\uc11c MAPE\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u1111\u1161\u110b\u1175\u110a\u1165\u11ab-\u110f\u1161\u1103\u1173\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Python\uc5d0\uc11c MAPE\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95<\/a><br \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\">\uc88b\uc740 RMSE \uac12\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uce21\uc815\ud56d\ubaa9 \uc911 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc808\ub300 \ubc31\ubd84\uc728 \uc624\ucc28\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 MAPE \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. MAPE\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. MAPE = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\uc2e4\uc81c \u2013 \uc608\uce21| \/ |\uc2e4\uc81c|) * 100 \uae08: \u03a3 \u2013 &#8220;\ud569\uacc4&#8221;\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\ub294 \ud654\ub824\ud55c \uae30\ud638 n \u2013 \ud45c\ubcf8 \ud06c\uae30 real \u2013 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uac12 \uc608\uce21 \u2013 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc608\uc0c1 \uac12 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-20"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>MAPE\uc758 \uc88b\uc740 \uac00\uce58\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c? - \uace0\uc815\uc790<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc774 \ud29c\ud1a0\ub9ac\uc5bc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \uc624\ub958\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uce21\uc815\ud56d\ubaa9\uc778 MAPE\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc88b\uc740 \uac12\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\uc8fc\ub418\ub294 \uac12\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ube60\ub978 \uc124\uba85\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u110c\u1169\u11c2\u110b\u1173\u11ab-\u110f\u1161\u1103\u1173\u1100\u1161-\u1106\u116f\u110b\u1163\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"MAPE\uc758 \uc88b\uc740 \uac00\uce58\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c? 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