{"id":376,"date":"2023-08-01T12:09:39","date_gmt":"2023-08-01T12:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%87%e1%85%a6%e1%84%8b%e1%85%b5%e1%84%8c%e1%85%b3-%e1%84%8c%e1%85%a5%e1%86%bc%e1%84%85%e1%85%b5\/"},"modified":"2023-08-01T12:09:39","modified_gmt":"2023-08-01T12:09:39","slug":"%e1%84%87%e1%85%a6%e1%84%8b%e1%85%b5%e1%84%8c%e1%85%b3-%e1%84%8c%e1%85%a5%e1%86%bc%e1%84%85%e1%85%b5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%87%e1%85%a6%e1%84%8b%e1%85%b5%e1%84%8c%e1%85%b3-%e1%84%8c%e1%85%a5%e1%86%bc%e1%84%85%e1%85%b5\/","title":{"rendered":"\ubca0\uc774\uc988\uc758 \uc815\ub9ac"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uac00 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0, \ud655\ub960\uacfc \ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc6a9\ub3c4\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294\uc9c0 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0, \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \ud574\uacb0 \uc0ac\ub840\uc640 \uc774 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc751\uc6a9\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \uc54c\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%c2%bfque-es-el-teorema-de-bayes\"><\/span> \ubca0\uc774\uc988\uc758 \uc815\ub9ac\ub780 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p> \ud655\ub960 \uc774\ub860\uc5d0\uc11c <strong>\ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294<\/strong> \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0ac\uc804 \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ubc95\uce59\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p> \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub0a0 \ud655\ub960\uacfc A\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c B\uac00 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub0a0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc218\ud559\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uad00\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p> \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ub3c5\uac10\uc5d0 \uac78\ub9b0 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \ub450\ud1b5\uc744 \uc553\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uba74 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub450\ud1b5\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \ub54c \ub3c5\uac10\uc5d0 \uac78\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc751\uc6a9 \ubd84\uc57c\ub97c \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc758\ud559, \uacbd\uc81c\ud559 \ub610\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc870\uac74\ud654\ub41c \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc751\uc6a9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc218\ud559\uc790 \ud1a0\ub9c8\uc2a4 \ubca0\uc774\uc988(1702-1761)\uac00 \ucc3d\uc548\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc0ac\ud6c4 1763\ub144\uc5d0 \ucd9c\ud310\ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<div style=\"background-color:#FFFDE7; padding-top: 10px; padding-bottom: 10px; padding-right: 20px; padding-left: 30px; border: 2.5px dashed #FFB74D; border-radius:20px;\"> <span style=\"color:#ff951b\">\u27a4<\/span> <strong>\ucc38\uace0:<\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u110c\u1169\u1100\u1165\u11ab\u1107\u116e-\u110c\u1169\u1100\u1165\u11ab\u1107\u116e-\u1112\u116a\u11a8\u1105\u1172\u11af\/\">\uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960<\/a> <\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"formula-del-teorema-de-bayes\"><\/span> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud655\ub960\uc774 0\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u1109\u1161\u11bc\u1112\u1169-\u1107\u1162\u1110\u1161\u110c\u1165\u11a8\u110b\u1175\u11ab-\u110b\u1175\u1107\u1166\u11ab\u1110\u1173\/\">\uc0c1\ud638 \ubc30\ud0c0\uc801\uc778 \uc0ac\uac74<\/a> \uc9d1\ud569 {A <sub>1<\/sub> , A <sub>2<\/sub> ,\u2026, A <sub>i<\/sub> ,\u2026, <sub>An<\/sub> }\uacfc \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74 B\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c \ud45c\ubcf8 \uacf5\uac04\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc870\uac74\uc2dd\uc744 \uc218\ud559\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uad00\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c A <sub>i<\/sub> \uc758 \ud655\ub960\uacfc A <sub>i\uac00<\/sub> \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c B\uc758 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960.<\/p>\n<p> \ub530\ub77c\uc11c <strong>\ubca0\uc774\uc988 \ubc95\uce59<\/strong> \uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 <strong>\ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac<\/strong> \uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/theoreme-de-bayes.png\" alt=\"\ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd, \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uaddc\uce59\" class=\"wp-image-8514\" width=\"370\" height=\"318\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/figure>\n<p style=\"margin-bottom:7px\"> \uae08:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"color:#FF8A05; font-weight: bold;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-62ffcdb184381914ec23155ad31bbfb0_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_i|B)\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"65\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"><\/p>\n<p> \ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 A <sub>i<\/sub> \uc758 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc774\uba70 \uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-676b61239ea67554603513360fbea72b_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(B|A_i)\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"65\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"><\/p>\n<p> \ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 A <sub>\uac00<\/sub> \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 B\uc758 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:8px\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-be31252343b496b792bee3e55a99979f_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_i)\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"19\" width=\"46\" style=\"vertical-align: -5px;\"><\/p>\n<p> \ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 A <sub>\uac00<\/sub> \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774\uba70 \uc0ac\uc804 \ud655\ub960\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac \uacf5\uc2dd\uc758 \ubd84\ubaa8\ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uc758 <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u110e\u1169\u11bc-\u1112\u116a\u11a8\u1105\u1172\u11af-\u110c\u1165\u11bc\u1105\u1175\/\">\ucd1d \ud655\ub960<\/a> \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"ejemplo-del-teorema-de-bayes\"><\/span> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc608<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc815\uc758\uc640 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uace0 \ub098\uba74, \uac1c\ub150\uc744 \ub354 \uc798 \uc774\ud574\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub85c \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud574\uacb0 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> \ud55c \uc804\uc790\uc81c\ud488 \ub9e4\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c X, Y, Z\ub77c\ub294 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 TV\ub97c \ud310\ub9e4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ucd9c\uc758 20%\ub294 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc TV\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uace0, \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Y TV\uc758 3%\ub294 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Z TV\uc758 4%\ub294 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\ub294 TV\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 TV\uac00 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Z TV\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> \uc774 \uc5f0\uc2b5\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uace0\uac1d\uc774 \uac01 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 TV\ub97c \uad6c\ub9e4\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> \uc0ac\uac74 A <sub>1<\/sub> : \uace0\uac1d\uc774 X \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud568 \u2192 P(A <sub>1<\/sub> )=0.20<\/li>\n<li> \uc0ac\uac74 A <sub>2<\/sub> : \uace0\uac1d\uc774 Y \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc744 \uad6c\uc785 \u2192 P(A <sub>2<\/sub> )=0.50<\/li>\n<li> \uc0ac\uac74 A <sub>3<\/sub> : \uace0\uac1d\uc774 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Z \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud568 \u2192 P(A <sub>3<\/sub> )=0.30<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> \ub610\ud55c \uc774 \ud310\ub3c5\uac12\uc740 \uac01 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 TV\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \ud655\ub960\ub3c4 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"> \uc0ac\uac74 B: TV\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> B|A <sub>1<\/sub> : \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc X \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc74c \u2192 P(B|A <sub>1<\/sub> )=0.05<\/li>\n<li> B|A <sub>2<\/sub> : \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Y \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc74c \u2192 P(B|A <sub>2<\/sub> )=0.03<\/li>\n<li> B|A <sub>3<\/sub> : \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Z \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2192 P(B|A <sub>3<\/sub> )=0.04<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \uac16\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 <a href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u1102\u1161\u1106\u116e-\u1103\u1161\u110b\u1175\u110b\u1165\u1100\u1173\u1105\u1162\u11b7\/\">\ud655\ub960 \ud2b8\ub9ac\ub294<\/a> \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"370\" height=\"257\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/theoreme-de-probabilite-de-bayes.png\" alt=\"\ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac \ud2b8\ub9ac \ub2e4\uc774\uc5b4\uadf8\ub7a8\" class=\"wp-image-8525\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/figure>\n<p> \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ud154\ub808\ube44\uc804\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \ub54c \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Z\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub824\uba74 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c15e369635dcf17952b5d832a818d535_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_i|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_i)\\cdot P(A_i)}{\\displaystyle \\sum_{k=1}^n P(B|A_k)\\cdot P(A_k)}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"77\" width=\"251\" style=\"vertical-align: -49px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p> \uc774 \uc608\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub41c \uc6a9\uc5b4\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 Bayes\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7c2b74ac3ed5173c4a40837675d8282d_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_3|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)+P(B|A_2)\\cdot P(A_2)+ P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"45\" width=\"525\" style=\"vertical-align: -17px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p> \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 TV\uac00 \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc Z\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uacc4\uc0b0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-818d0f3336f855a1315d6a94f01d1876_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"\\begin{aligned}P(A_3|B)&amp;=\\cfrac{P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)+P(B|A_2)\\cdot P(A_2)+ P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}\\\\[2ex]&amp;=\\cfrac{0,04\\cdot 0,30}{0,05\\cdot 0,20+0,03\\cdot 0,50+0,04\\cdot 0,30}\\\\[2ex]&amp;=0,32\\end{aligned}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"151\" width=\"525\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p> \uacb0\ub860\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, TV\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud568\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 Z \ube0c\ub79c\ub4dc\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 32%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"aplicaciones-del-teorema-de-bayes\"><\/span> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc751\uc6a9<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc751\uc6a9 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<ol style=\"color:#FF8A05; font-weight: bold;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:16px\"> <span style=\"color:#101010;font-weight: normal;\"><strong>\uc758\ub8cc \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8<\/strong> : \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \uc9c4\ub2e8 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub97c \ud1b5\uacfc\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc758\ud559\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc8fc \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, HIV \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc591\uc131\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ubc14\uc774\ub7ec\uc2a4\uc5d0 \uac10\uc5fc\ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc815\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:16px\"> <span style=\"color:#101010;font-weight: normal;\"><strong>\uc7ac\ubb34 \ubd84\uc11d<\/strong> : \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc77c\ub828\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc8fc\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ub610\ub294 \ud558\ub77d\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:16px\"> <span style=\"color:#101010;font-weight: normal;\"><strong>\uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc870\uc0ac<\/strong> : \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc774 \uc81c\ud488\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad11\uace0\ub97c \ubcf8 \ud6c4 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc81c\ud488\uc744 \uad6c\ub9e4\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:16px\"> <span style=\"color:#101010;font-weight: normal;\"><strong>\uc77c\uae30\uc608\ubcf4<\/strong> : \ub0a0\uc528 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uad00\uce21\ub41c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \ud2b9\uc815 \uc77c\uae30\uc608\ubcf4\uac00 \uc2e4\ud604\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uae30\ud6c4 \uc608\uce21\uc758 \uc815\ud655\uc131\uc744 \ud5a5\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:16px\"> <span style=\"color:#101010;font-weight: normal;\"><strong>\ucef4\ud4e8\ud130 \ubcf4\uc548<\/strong> \u2013 \uc0ac\uc774\ubc84 \ubcf4\uc548\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc988\uc758 \uc815\ub9ac\ub97c \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc758\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \ud65c\ub3d9\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ucef4\ud4e8\ud130 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uaca9\uc77c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ud310\ub2e8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span> <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"ejercicios-resueltos-del-teorema-de-bayes\"><\/span> \ud574\uacb0 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac \ubb38\uc81c<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"> \uc5f0\uc2b5 1<\/h3>\n<p> \uc778\uad6c\uc758 1%\uac00 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc744 \uc553\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc0b0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc744 \ud0d0\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \uc591\uc131 \uc0ac\ub840\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 95% \uc815\ud655\ud558\uace0 \uc74c\uc131 \uc0ac\ub840\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 90% \uc815\ud655\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubb34\uc791\uc704\ub85c \uc120\ud0dd\ub41c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc591\uc131 \ubc18\uc751\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uba74 \uadf8 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc5d0 \uac78\ub838\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub429\ub2c8\uae4c? <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-otfm-box-spoiler-start otfm-sp__wrapper otfm-sp__box js-otfm-sp-box__closed otfm-sp__FFF8E1\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-expanded=\"false\" data-otfm-spc=\"#FFF8E1\" style=\"text-align:center\">\n<div class=\"otfm-sp__title\"> <strong>\uc194\ub8e8\uc158 \ubcf4\uae30<\/strong><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \uc6b4\ub3d9 \uc9c4\uc220\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"> A <sub>1<\/sub> : \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc744 \uac16\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c \u2192 P(A <sub>1<\/sub> )=0.01<br \/> A <sub>2<\/sub> : \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0ac\ub78c \u2192 P(A <sub>2<\/sub> )=0.99<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"> B: \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \uc591\uc131\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/> B|A <sub>1<\/sub> : \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc774 \uc788\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc591\uc131 \u2192 P(B|A <sub>1<\/sub> )=0.95<br \/> B|A <sub>2<\/sub> : \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc591\uc131 \u2192 P(B|A <sub>2<\/sub> )=1-0.90=0.10<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \uadf8\ub7f0 \ub2e4\uc74c, \ubb34\uc791\uc704\ub85c \uc120\ud0dd\ub41c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc591\uc131 \ud310\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\uc744 \ub54c \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc5d0 \uac78\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub824\uba74 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uaddc\uce59\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c15e369635dcf17952b5d832a818d535_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_i|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_i)\\cdot P(A_i)}{\\displaystyle \\sum_{k=1}^n P(B|A_k)\\cdot P(A_k)}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"77\" width=\"251\" style=\"vertical-align: -49px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-d76df126cb6076aeba65aa7d1c12e344_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_1|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)}{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)+P(B|A_2)\\cdot P(A_2)}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"45\" width=\"374\" style=\"vertical-align: -17px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uac12\uc744 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\uc785\ud558\uace0 \ud655\ub960 \uacc4\uc0b0\uc744 \uc218\ud589\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-135e9ab7de6b44e7392fae0f5e70a125_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"\\begin{aligned}P(A_1|B)&amp;=\\cfrac{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)}{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)+P(B|A_2)\\cdot P(A_2)}\\\\[2ex]&amp;=\\cfrac{0,95\\cdot 0,01}{0,95\\cdot 0,01+0,10\\cdot 0,99}\\\\[2ex]&amp;=0,0876\\end{aligned}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"151\" width=\"374\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \uc989, \ubb34\uc791\uc704\ub85c \uc120\ud0dd\ub41c \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \uc591\uc131 \ud310\uc815\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc9c8\ubcd1\uc5d0 \uac78\ub9b4 \ud655\ub960\uc740 8.76%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-otfm-box-spoiler-end otfm-sp_end\"><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"> \uc5f0\uc2b5 2<\/h3>\n<p> \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uac00\uac00 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 40%, \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub420 \ud655\ub960\uc740 10%, \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 50%\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \ub54c \uc7ac\ubb34 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc608\uce21\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 90%\uc774\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc77c \ub54c \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uc815\ud655\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 75%\uc774\uba70, \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0\ub294 \uc815\ud655\ud55c \uc608\uce21 \ud655\ub960\uc740 75%\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. 85%.%. \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub429\ub2c8\uae4c? <\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-otfm-box-spoiler-start otfm-sp__wrapper otfm-sp__box js-otfm-sp-box__closed otfm-sp__FFF8E1\" role=\"button\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-expanded=\"false\" data-otfm-spc=\"#FFF8E1\" style=\"text-align:center\">\n<div class=\"otfm-sp__title\"> <strong>\uc194\ub8e8\uc158 \ubcf4\uae30<\/strong><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc6b4\ub3d9 \uba85\ub839\ubb38\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"> A <sub>1<\/sub> : \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \u2192 P(A <sub>1<\/sub> )=0.40<br \/> A <sub>2<\/sub> : \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc548\uc815 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0 \u2192 P(A <sub>2<\/sub> )=0.10<br \/> A <sub>3<\/sub> : \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub8e8 \ub9cc\uc5d0 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \u2192 P(A <sub>3<\/sub> )=0.50<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"> B: \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<br \/> B|A <sub>1<\/sub> : \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc608\uce21\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2192 P(B|A <sub>1<\/sub> )=0.90<br \/> B|A <sub>2<\/sub> : \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub41c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc608\uce21\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2192 P(B|A <sub>2<\/sub> )=0.75<br \/> B|A <sub>3<\/sub> : \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc608\uce21\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4 \u2192 P(B|A <sub>3<\/sub> )=0.85<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\uac00 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uadf8 \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uc815\ud655\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud558\ub824\uba74 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac \uacf5\uc2dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-c15e369635dcf17952b5d832a818d535_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_i|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_i)\\cdot P(A_i)}{\\displaystyle \\sum_{k=1}^n P(B|A_k)\\cdot P(A_k)}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"77\" width=\"251\" style=\"vertical-align: -49px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-7c2b74ac3ed5173c4a40837675d8282d_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"P(A_3|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)+P(B|A_2)\\cdot P(A_2)+ P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"45\" width=\"525\" style=\"vertical-align: -17px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \ud655\ub960 \uac12\uc744 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc5d0 \ub300\uc785\ud558\uace0 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/ql-cache\/quicklatex.com-9f98a5a8a91299aa55aab02159dcebec_l3.png\" class=\"ql-img-inline-formula quicklatex-auto-format\" alt=\"\\begin{aligned}P(A_3|B)&amp;=\\cfrac{P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}{P(B|A_1)\\cdot P(A_1)+P(B|A_2)\\cdot P(A_2)+ P(B|A_3)\\cdot P(A_3)}\\\\[2ex]&amp;=\\cfrac{0,85\\cdot 0,50}{0,90\\cdot 0,40+0,75\\cdot 0,10+0,85\\cdot 0,50}\\\\[2ex]&amp;=0,4942\\end{aligned}\" title=\"Rendered by QuickLaTeX.com\" height=\"151\" width=\"525\" style=\"vertical-align: 0px;\"><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\"> \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc608\uce21\uc774 \ub9de\uc744 \ud655\ub960\uc740 49.42%\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div class=\"wp-block-otfm-box-spoiler-end otfm-sp_end\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uac00 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0, \ud655\ub960\uacfc \ud1b5\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc6a9\ub3c4\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294\uc9c0 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0, \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \ud574\uacb0 \uc0ac\ub840\uc640 \uc774 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc751\uc6a9\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \uc54c\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubca0\uc774\uc988\uc758 \uc815\ub9ac\ub780 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc785\ub2c8\uae4c? \ud655\ub960 \uc774\ub860\uc5d0\uc11c \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0ac\uc804 \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ubc95\uce59\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-376","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-21"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u25b7 \ubca0\uc774\uc988\uc758 \uc815\ub9ac<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uc5ec\uae30\uc11c\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9, \uadf8\uac83\uc774 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uc6a9\ub3c4, \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ubc0f \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \ud574\uacb0\ub41c \uc5f0\uc2b5\uc744 \ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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