{"id":392,"date":"2023-08-01T04:39:10","date_gmt":"2023-08-01T04:39:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%92%e1%85%aa%e1%86%a8%e1%84%85%e1%85%b2%e1%86%af-%e1%84%80%e1%85%a9%e1%86%bc%e1%84%89%e1%85%b5%e1%86%a8\/"},"modified":"2023-08-01T04:39:10","modified_gmt":"2023-08-01T04:39:10","slug":"%e1%84%92%e1%85%aa%e1%86%a8%e1%84%85%e1%85%b2%e1%86%af-%e1%84%80%e1%85%a9%e1%86%bc%e1%84%89%e1%85%b5%e1%86%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%92%e1%85%aa%e1%86%a8%e1%84%85%e1%85%b2%e1%86%af-%e1%84%80%e1%85%a9%e1%86%bc%e1%84%89%e1%85%b5%e1%86%a8\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud655\ub960 \uc774\ub860\uc758 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacf5\uc2dd\uacfc \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uadf8 \uc801\uc6a9 \uc608\ub97c \ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

<\/span> \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4 \ubc95\uce59\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59(Laplace’s Law)\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59(Laplace’s rule)\uc740 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uaddc\uce59\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \uc218\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \ucd1d \uc218\ub85c \ub098\ub208 \uac12\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub824\uba74 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc744 \ucda9\uc871\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\uc758 \uc218\ub85c \ub098\ub204\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A)=\\cfrac{\\text{casos<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uc870:<\/strong> \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4 \uaddc\uce59\uc758 \uc608<\/a> <\/div>\n

<\/span> \uc5ed\uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ud55c \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc740 1\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub300 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ube80 \uac83\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \ud55c \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uacfc \ubc18\ub300 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc758 \ud569\uc740 1\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P\\bigl(A\\bigr)=1-P\\bigl(\\overline{A}\\bigr)\"<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc22b\uc790 5\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \ud655\ub960\uc740 0.167\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc65c\ub0d0\ud558\uba74 \uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc801 \uc18d\uc131\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub2e4\ub978 \uc22b\uc790\uac00 \ub098\uc62c \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(5)=0,167\"<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(1,<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/span> \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \ud558\ub294 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uba74 \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ucc99\ub3c4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc989, \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960 P(A|B)\ub294 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc774\ubbf8 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \ud6c4\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 A\uc758 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc0ac\uac74 A\uc640 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uc758 \ud655\ub960\ub85c \ub098\ub208 \uac12\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A|B)=\\cfrac{P(A\\cap<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uc870:<\/strong>\uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc758 \uc608<\/a><\/div>\n

<\/span> \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \uacb0\ud569 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ub450 \uc0ac\uac74 A\uc640 B\uc758 \ud569\uc9d1\ud569\uc740 A, B \ub610\ub294 \ub458 \ub2e4\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc1c\uacac\ub418\ub294 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uc9d1\ud569\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uacb0\ud569\uc740 \u22c3 \uae30\ud638\ub85c \ud45c\ud604\ub418\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc0ac\uac74 A\uc640 B\uc758 \uacb0\ud569\uc740 A\u22c3B\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud569\uc9d1\ud569 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \ub450 \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ub354\ud558\uace0 \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \uad50\ucc28\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ube80 \uac83\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc989, \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud569\uc9d1\ud569 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> P(A\u22c3B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\u22c2B)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A\\cup<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ud638\ud658\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74 \uac04\uc758 \uad50\ucc28\uc810\uc740 0\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc591\ub9bd\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub294 \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uacb0\ud569 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uac01 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ubc1c\uc0dd \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ub354\ud558\uc5ec \uacc4\uc0b0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"\\text{A<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A\\cup<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uace0:<\/strong> \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 \ucc38\uc5ec \uc608\uc2dc<\/a> <\/div>\n

<\/span> \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\uc0ac\uac74 A\uc640 B\uc758 \uad50\ucc28\uc810\uc740 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 A\uc640 B\uc5d0 \uc18d\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc0ac\uac74\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub418\uba70 \uae30\ud638 \u22c2\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc0ac\uac74 A\uc640 B\uc758 \uad50\ucc28\uc810\uc740 A\u22c2B\ub85c \ud45c\uc2dc\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud55c \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacf1\ud55c \uac83\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> P(A\u22c2B)=P(A) P(B|A)=P(B) P(A|B)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A\\cap<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub450 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc801\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\ub294 \ud55c \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc774 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub450 \ub3c5\ub9bd \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A\\cap<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uace0:<\/strong> \uc0ac\uac74 \uad50\ucc28\uc758 \uc608<\/a> <\/div>\n

<\/span> \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ucc28\uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ub450 \uc0ac\uac74 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 \ucc28\uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ud55c \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c AB \uc131\uacf5\uc758 \ucc28\uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc740 A \uc131\uacf5 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0\uc11c A \uc131\uacf5\uacfc B \uc131\uacf5\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ube80 \uac83\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc131\uacf5\uc758 \ucc28\uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A-B)=P(A)-P(A\\cap<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

<\/span> \ucd1d \ud655\ub960 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\uc804\uccb4 \ud655\ub960 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \ud45c\ubcf8 \uacf5\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ud45c\ubcf8 \uacf5\uac04\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\uac00 \uc544\ub2cc \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ud558\ub294 \ubc95\uce59\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc804\uccb4 \ud655\ub960 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \ud45c\ubcf8 \uacf5\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubd84\ud560\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\ub294 \uc77c\ub828\uc758 \uc0ac\uac74 {A 1<\/sub> , A 2<\/sub> ,\u2026, An<\/sub> }\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc0ac\uac74 B\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uac01 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960 \uacf1\uc758 \ud569\uacfc \uac19\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960 P(B|A i<\/sub> )\uc5d0 \uc758\ud55c \uc0ac\uac74 P(A i<\/sub> ).<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ucd1d \ud655\ub960 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"\\displaystyle<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uc870:<\/strong> \ucd1d \ud655\ub960 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc608<\/a> <\/div>\n

<\/span> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ud655\ub960 \uc774\ub860\uc5d0\uc11c \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\ub294 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc0ac\uc804 \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ud574\ub2f9 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ubc95\uce59\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ud655\ub960\uc774 0\uc774 \uc544\ub2cc \uc0c1\ud638 \ubc30\ud0c0\uc801\uc778 \uc0ac\uac74 \uc9d1\ud569 {A 1<\/sub> , A 2<\/sub> ,\u2026, A i<\/sub> ,\u2026, An<\/sub> }\uacfc \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc0ac\uac74 B\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub41c \ud45c\ubcf8 \uacf5\uac04\uc774 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \uc870\uac74\uc2dd\uc744 \uc218\ud559\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5f0\uad00\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c A i<\/sub> \uc758 \ud655\ub960\uacfc A i\uac00<\/sub> \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc84c\uc744 \ub54c B\uc758 \uc870\uac74\ubd80 \ud655\ub960.<\/p>\n

\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc740<\/strong> \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"P(A_i|B)=\\cfrac{P(B|A_i)\\cdot<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uc870:<\/strong> \ubca0\uc774\uc988 \uc815\ub9ac\uc758 \uc608<\/a> <\/div>\n

<\/span> \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc758 \uc694\uc57d\ud45c<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc774 \uc694\uc57d\ub41c \ud45c\ub97c \ub0a8\uaca8\ub4dc\ub9bd\ub2c8\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\"\ud655\ub960<\/figure>\n
\u27a4<\/span> \ucc38\uace0:<\/strong> \ud1b5\uacc4 \uacf5\uc2dd<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc774 \uae30\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud655\ub960 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc774 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc778\uc9c0 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc90d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud655\ub960 \uc774\ub860\uc758 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uacf5\uc2dd\uacfc \ucd94\uac00\ub85c \uadf8 \uc801\uc6a9 \uc608\ub97c \ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4 \ubc95\uce59\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59(Laplace’s Law)\uc774\ub77c\uace0\ub3c4 \uc54c\ub824\uc9c4 \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59(Laplace’s rule)\uc740 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \uaddc\uce59\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub77c\ud50c\ub77c\uc2a4\uc758 \ubc95\uce59\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \uc218\ub97c \uac00\ub2a5\ud55c \uacbd\uc6b0\uc758 \ucd1d \uc218\ub85c \ub098\ub208 \uac12\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c 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