{"id":583,"date":"2023-07-29T10:18:41","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T10:18:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%89%e1%85%a1%e1%84%92%e1%85%ae-%e1%84%92%e1%85%aa%e1%86%a8%e1%84%85%e1%85%b2%e1%86%af\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T10:18:41","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T10:18:41","slug":"%e1%84%89%e1%85%a1%e1%84%92%e1%85%ae-%e1%84%92%e1%85%aa%e1%86%a8%e1%84%85%e1%85%b2%e1%86%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/%e1%84%89%e1%85%a1%e1%84%92%e1%85%ae-%e1%84%92%e1%85%aa%e1%86%a8%e1%84%85%e1%85%b2%e1%86%af\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960: \uc815\uc758 + \uc608"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc740<\/strong> \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud55c \ud6c4\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub41c \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ubc29\uae08 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uc0ac\uac74 &#8220;B&#8221;\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc0ac\uac74 &#8220;A&#8221;\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uacf5\uc2dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc774 \uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>P(A|B)<\/strong> = P(A) * P(B|A) \/ P(B)<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uae08:<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(A|B) = \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \u201c| \u00bb\ub294 &#8216;\uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c4&#8217;\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(A) = \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(B) = \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(B|A) = \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\uc608: \uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960 \uacc4\uc0b0<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc232\uc740 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34 20%, \ub2e8\ud48d\ub098\ubb34 80%\ub85c \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc758 90%\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud558\uace0 \ub2e8\ud48d\ub098\ubb34\uc758 50%\ub9cc\uc774 \uac74\uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud574 \ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uba40\ub9ac\uc11c \ubcf4\uba74 \ud2b9\uc815 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud574 \ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\uc778\uac00?<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(A|B) = P(A) * P(B|A) \/ P(B)<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774 \uc608\uc5d0\uc11c \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud560 \ub54c \uadf8 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(\uc624\ud06c|\uac74\uac15) = P(\uc624\ud06c) * P(\uac74\uac15|\uc624\ud06c) \/ P(\uac74\uac15)<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(Oak) = \uc232\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ub098\ubb34\uc758 20%\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 <strong>0.2<\/strong> \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(\uac74\uac15) = \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4: (0.20)*(0.9) + (0.8)*(0.5) = <strong>0.58<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(Healthy|Oak) = \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc740 <strong>0.9<\/strong> \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc65c\ub0d0\ud558\uba74 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc758 90%\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ub4e4\uc5c8\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc22b\uc790\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc5ec \uadf8 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ucc3e\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">P(\uc624\ud06c|\uac74\uac15) = P(\uc624\ud06c) * P(\uac74\uac15|\uc624\ud06c) \/ P(\uac74\uac15) = (0.2) * (0.9) \/ (0.58) = <strong>0.3103<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc9c1\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ud574\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e4\uc74c \uadf8\ub9ac\ub4dc\uac00 100\uadf8\ub8e8\uc758 \ub098\ubb34 \uc232\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4\uace0 \uac00\uc815\ud574 \ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc911 \uc815\ud655\ud788 20\uadf8\ub8e8\ub294 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc774\uace0 \uadf8 \uc911 18\uadf8\ub8e8\ub294 \uac74\uac15\ud55c \ub098\ubb34\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 80\uadf8\ub8e8\ub294 \ub2e8\ud48d\ub098\ubb34\uc774\uace0 \uadf8 \uc911 40\uadf8\ub8e8\ub294 \uac74\uac15\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">(O = \uc624\ud06c\ub098\ubb34, M = \ub2e8\ud48d\ub098\ubb34, \ub179\uc0c9 = \uac74\uac15\ud568, \ube68\uac04\uc0c9 = \uac74\uac15\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc74c)<\/span> <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-5346 \" src=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/posterieur_prob0.png\" alt=\"\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc758 \uc608\" width=\"326\" height=\"258\" srcset=\"\" sizes=\"auto, \"><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ubaa8\ub4e0 \ub098\ubb34 \uc911\uc5d0\uc11c \uc815\ud655\ud788 58\uadf8\ub8e8\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud55c \ub098\ubb34\uc774\uace0 \uadf8 \uac74\uac15\ud55c \ub098\ubb34 \uc911 18\uadf8\ub8e8\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uac74\uac15\ud55c \ub098\ubb34\ub97c \uc120\ud0dd\ud588\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc548\ub2e4\uba74 \uadf8\uac83\uc774 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 18\/58 = <strong>0.3103<\/strong> \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc5b8\uc81c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\uae4c?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uae08\uc735, \uc758\ud559, \uacbd\uc81c, \uc77c\uae30\uc608\ubcf4 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc694\uc810\uc740 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc5bb\uc740 \ud6c4 \ubb34\uc5b8\uac00\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub358 \uc774\uc804 \ubbff\uc74c\uc744 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uc774\uc804 \uc608\uc5d0\uc11c \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc232\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc774 20%\ub77c\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc54c\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uac83\uc744 <strong>\uc0ac\uc804 \ud655\ub960<\/strong> \uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \ub098\ubb34\ub97c \ubb34\uc791\uc704\ub85c \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uba74 \uadf8 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c \ud655\ub960\uc740 0.20\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc54c\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc120\ud0dd\ud55c \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \uac74\uac15\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc5bb\uc740 \ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc774 \ub098\ubb34\uac00 \ucc38\ub098\ubb34\uc77c <strong>\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc774<\/strong> 0.3103\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\ud604\uc2e4 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\ub78c\ub4e4\uc740 \ub04a\uc784\uc5c6\uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \ubc1c\uacac\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub294 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uac00 \uc774\uc804 \uc2e0\ub150\uc744 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\ub294 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uc0ac\uac74\uc758 \uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uc0dd\uc131\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc138\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc815\ud655\ud55c \uc774\ud574\ub97c \uc5bb\uace0 \ubbf8\ub798 \uc0ac\uac74\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc815\ud655\ud55c \uc608\uce21\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc740 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud55c \ud6c4\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub41c \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ubc29\uae08 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uc0ac\uac74 &#8220;B&#8221;\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc0ac\uac74 &#8220;A&#8221;\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \uc788\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc74c \uacf5\uc2dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc774 \uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. P(A|B) = P(A) * P(B|A) \/ P(B) \uae08: P(A|B) = \uc0ac\uac74 B\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uc0ac\uac74 A\uac00 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \ud655\ub960\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \u201c| \u00bb\ub294 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-20"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960: \uc815\uc758 + \uc608 - \ud1b5\uacc4\ud559<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc778 \uc815\uc758\uc640 \uc774\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc608\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\uc5ec \uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uac04\ub2e8\ud55c \uc124\uba85\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/ko\/\u1109\u1161\u1112\u116e-\u1112\u116a\u11a8\u1105\u1172\u11af\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uc0ac\ud6c4 \ud655\ub960: \uc815\uc758 + \uc608 - 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