{"id":247,"date":"2023-08-03T16:14:35","date_gmt":"2023-08-03T16:14:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/onem-duzeyi\/"},"modified":"2023-08-03T16:14:35","modified_gmt":"2023-08-03T16:14:35","slug":"onem-duzeyi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/onem-duzeyi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bu makalede istatistiklerde anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin ne oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131klanmaktad\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin anlam\u0131n\u0131, en s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclen anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeylerini i\u00e7eren bir tabloyu ve anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin di\u011fer istatistiksel kavramlarla ili\u015fkisini bulacaks\u0131n\u0131z. <\/p>\n

<\/span> \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi nedir?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi,<\/strong> bir pop\u00fclasyondaki istatistiksel parametre tahmininin g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Ba\u015fka bir deyi\u015fle anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi, ger\u00e7ekten do\u011fru olan bir hipotezin reddedilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130statistiklerde anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi Yunan sembol\u00fc \u03b1 (alfa) ile temsil edilir. Bu nedenle buna alfa d\u00fczeyi<\/strong> de denir.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi \u03b1=0,05 ise bu, bir hipotez do\u011fruyken reddedilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %5 oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir. Yani istatistiksel bir parametreyi tahmin edip, hata pay\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fan bir hatayla yan\u0131lma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %5’tir.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi, bir sonucun istatistiksel olarak anlaml\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirlemek i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 i\u015faretler; \u00f6yle ki, p-de\u011feri anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fckse sonu\u00e7 istatistiksel olarak anlaml\u0131 kabul edilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi ile p de\u011feri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkiyi g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. <\/p>\n

<\/span> \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyleri tablosu<\/span><\/h2>\n

Anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin tan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da en yayg\u0131n anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeylerinin de\u011ferlerini i\u00e7eren bir tablo sunulmaktad\u0131r. <\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
G\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi (1-\u03b1)<\/th>\n \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi (\u03b1)<\/th>\n Kritik de\u011fer (Z \u03b1\/2<\/sub> )<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
0.80<\/td>\n 0.20<\/td>\n 1.282<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0,85<\/td>\n 0,15<\/td>\n 1.440<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0,90<\/td>\n 0.10<\/td>\n 1.645<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0,95<\/td>\n 0,05<\/td>\n 1960<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0,99<\/td>\n 0,01<\/td>\n 2.576<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0,995<\/td>\n 0,005<\/td>\n 2.807<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
0,999<\/td>\n 0,001<\/td>\n 3.291<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Bu tablo bir g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 hesaplamak i\u00e7in \u00e7ok faydal\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Tabloda da g\u00f6rebilece\u011finiz gibi, g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyinin artmas\u0131 anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyini azalt\u0131r, bu da bir hipotezi kabul ederken hata yapma riskinin azalmas\u0131na ve di\u011fer yandan istatistiksel bir parametrenin tahmininde daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir kesinli\u011fe yol a\u00e7ar. . Genelde %5’lik bir anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi kullan\u0131l\u0131r (\u03b1=0,05). <\/p>\n

<\/span> %0 ve %100 anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi<\/span><\/h2>\n

Anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi de\u011feri %0 (\u03b1=0,00) ila %100 (\u03b1=1) aras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015febilir. Ancak bu iki u\u00e7 de\u011ferin hi\u00e7bir zaman istatistiklerde yer almamas\u0131 gerekir \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bunlar ger\u00e7ek d\u0131\u015f\u0131 iki de\u011ferdir, nedenini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

%0 anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi,<\/strong> kabul edilen hipotezin do\u011frulu\u011fu konusunda hi\u00e7bir \u015f\u00fcphenin olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelir. Bununla birlikte, t\u00fcm pop\u00fclasyon analiz edilmedik\u00e7e istatistiklerde %0’l\u0131k bir anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi mevcut de\u011fildir ve bu durumda bile herhangi bir hata veya yanl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n meydana gelmedi\u011finden tam olarak emin olunamaz. Soru\u015fturma s\u0131ras\u0131nda ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k %100 anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi<\/strong> , reddedilen hipotezin \u015f\u00fcphesiz do\u011fru oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelir. Ancak mant\u0131ksal olarak baz\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar %100 anlaml\u0131l\u0131k seviyesinde elde edilirse, istatistiksel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma tekrarlanmadan \u00f6nce sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n do\u011frulu\u011fu konusunda kesinlik olmayaca\u011f\u0131ndan bunlar hi\u00e7bir zaman yay\u0131nlanmayacakt\u0131r. <\/p>\n

<\/span> \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi ve g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u0130statistikte a\u00e7\u0131k olmas\u0131 gereken birbiriyle yak\u0131ndan ili\u015fkili iki kavram, anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi ve g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyidir. Bu nedenle bu b\u00f6l\u00fcmde anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi ile g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n ne oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

Anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi ile g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi aras\u0131ndaki fark,<\/strong> tan\u0131mlad\u0131klar\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131kt\u0131r. G\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi, bir hipotezi kabul etme ve onun ger\u00e7ekten do\u011fru olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r; anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi ise bir hipotezi reddetme ancak ger\u00e7ekte do\u011fru olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi art\u0131 g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi her zaman birlik ile sonu\u00e7lan\u0131r. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bir g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi 1-\u03b1 ise, ayn\u0131 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi de \u03b1 olur.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\"\\begin{array}{l}\\text{Nivel<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin bir g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi %95 ise anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi %5’tir. Yani istatistiksel \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 100, 95 kez tekrarlad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda ger\u00e7ek pop\u00fclasyonla \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen bir sonu\u00e7 elde edece\u011fiz, 5 kez ise hatal\u0131 sonu\u00e7 elde edece\u011fiz. <\/p>\n

\u27a4<\/span> Bak\u0131n\u0131z:<\/strong> G\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi nedir?<\/a> <\/div>\n

<\/span> \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi ve p de\u011feri<\/span><\/h2>\n

Son olarak, hipotezlerin kar\u015f\u0131tla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda yayg\u0131n olarak kullan\u0131lan iki kavram oldu\u011fundan anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi ile p de\u011feri aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkinin ne oldu\u011funu g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

P de\u011feri<\/strong> olarak da adland\u0131r\u0131lan p de\u011feri<\/strong> , g\u00f6zlenen fark\u0131n \u015fans eseri olma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren 0 ile 1 aras\u0131nda bir de\u011ferdir. Yani p de\u011feri bir sonucun \u00f6nemini g\u00f6sterir ve bir hipotezin do\u011fru mu yanl\u0131\u015f m\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirlemek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla hipotez testinde p de\u011feri anlaml\u0131l\u0131k seviyesinden b\u00fcy\u00fckse s\u0131f\u0131r hipotezi do\u011fru kabul edilir. \u00d6te yandan, p de\u011feri anlaml\u0131l\u0131k seviyesinin alt\u0131ndaysa s\u0131f\u0131r hipotezi reddedilir ve alternatif hipotez do\u011fru kabul edilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bu makalede istatistiklerde anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin ne oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131klanmaktad\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin anlam\u0131n\u0131, en s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fclen anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeylerini i\u00e7eren bir tabloyu ve anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyinin di\u011fer istatistiksel kavramlarla ili\u015fkisini bulacaks\u0131n\u0131z. \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi nedir? Anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi, bir pop\u00fclasyondaki istatistiksel parametre tahmininin g\u00fcven aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. Ba\u015fka bir deyi\u015fle anlaml\u0131l\u0131k d\u00fczeyi, ger\u00e7ekten do\u011fru olan bir hipotezin reddedilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131d\u0131r. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-istatistik"],"yoast_head":"\n\u25b7 \u00d6nem d\u00fczeyi nedir? 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