{"id":2887,"date":"2023-07-20T06:15:35","date_gmt":"2023-07-20T06:15:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/"},"modified":"2023-07-20T06:15:35","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T06:15:35","slug":"monty-hall-sorunu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/","title":{"rendered":"Monty hall problemi: basit bir g\u00f6rsel a\u00e7\u0131klama"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Let’s Make a Deal<\/em> adl\u0131 eski bir yar\u0131\u015fma program\u0131nda sunucu Monty Hall<\/a> yar\u0131\u015fmac\u0131lara \u00fc\u00e7 kap\u0131 sundu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kap\u0131lardan birinde \u00f6d\u00fcl bulunurken di\u011fer ikisinde yoktu.<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Monty, yar\u0131\u015fmac\u0131dan \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fcn bulundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kap\u0131n\u0131n hangisi oldu\u011funu se\u00e7mesini isteyecekti.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yar\u0131\u015fmac\u0131 bir kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7tikten sonra Monty, i\u00e7inde \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fcn bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> bir kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131yordu.<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u00d6d\u00fcl iki kapal\u0131 kap\u0131dan birinde kald\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

Monty daha sonra adaya kap\u0131y\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek isteyip istemediklerini sorard\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0130nanmas\u0131 zor g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, oyunun bu noktas\u0131nda kap\u0131lar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmenin asl\u0131nda size daha fazla kazanma \u015fans\u0131 verdi\u011fi ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nedenini \u00f6\u011frenmek i\u00e7in okumaya devam edin!<\/span><\/p>\n

Monty Hall Problemi G\u00f6rsel Olarak A\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n

Kap\u0131lar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmenin neden kazanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in, \u00f6nce 1. kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7ece\u011finiz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki senaryolar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurun.<\/span><\/p>\n

Senaryo 1: 1. kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7ersiniz ve \u00f6d\u00fcl asl\u0131nda 1. kap\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu durumda Monty 2. veya 3. kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7acak ve size her iki kap\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda da hi\u00e7bir \u015fey olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterecektir. 1. kap\u0131da kal\u0131rsan\u0131z kazan\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Senaryo 2: 1. kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7ersiniz ve \u00f6d\u00fcl asl\u0131nda 2. kap\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu durumda Monty 3 numaral\u0131 kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7mal\u0131 ve arkas\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir \u015fey olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 size g\u00f6stermelidir. 1. kap\u0131da kal\u0131rsan\u0131z kaybedersiniz<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Senaryo 3: 1. kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7ersiniz ve \u00f6d\u00fcl asl\u0131nda 3. kap\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131ndad\u0131r.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu durumda Monty 2. kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7mal\u0131 ve arkas\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir \u015fey olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 size g\u00f6stermelidir. 1. kap\u0131da kal\u0131rsan\u0131z kaybedersiniz<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

1. kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7erseniz bunlar\u0131n hepsi olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lard\u0131r. 1. kap\u0131da kal\u0131rsan\u0131z zaman\u0131n yaln\u0131zca \u00fc\u00e7te birinden tasarruf edece\u011finizi unutmay\u0131n. Ancak de\u011fi\u015ftirirseniz \u00fc\u00e7te iki oran\u0131nda tasarruf edersiniz.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tablo, bu yar\u0131\u015fma program\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm olas\u0131 senaryolar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra bak\u0131m ve de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyle ilgili sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 da \u00f6zetlemektedir:<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"Monty<\/p>\n

Tablodan, kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda zaman\u0131n %33’\u00fcn\u00fc<\/strong> kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131, ancak ge\u00e7i\u015f yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131zda zaman\u0131n %66’s\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yani kap\u0131lar\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fc kazanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu sezgisel olarak anlaml\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmese de matematik yalan s\u00f6ylemez.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Let’s Make a Deal adl\u0131 eski bir yar\u0131\u015fma program\u0131nda sunucu Monty Hall yar\u0131\u015fmac\u0131lara \u00fc\u00e7 kap\u0131 sundu. Kap\u0131lardan birinde \u00f6d\u00fcl bulunurken di\u011fer ikisinde yoktu. Monty, yar\u0131\u015fmac\u0131dan \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fcn bulundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc kap\u0131n\u0131n hangisi oldu\u011funu se\u00e7mesini isteyecekti. Yar\u0131\u015fmac\u0131 bir kap\u0131y\u0131 se\u00e7tikten sonra Monty, i\u00e7inde \u00f6d\u00fcl\u00fcn bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir kap\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131yordu. \u00d6d\u00fcl iki kapal\u0131 kap\u0131dan birinde kald\u0131. Monty daha sonra adaya […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2887","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-rehber"],"yoast_head":"\nMonty Hall Problemi: Basit Bir G\u00f6rsel A\u00e7\u0131klama - Statoryals<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bu makale, tam bir a\u00e7\u0131klama, \u00f6rnek ve \u00f6zet dahil olmak \u00fczere Monty Hall sorununu a\u00e7\u0131klamaktad\u0131r.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monty Hall Problemi: Basit Bir G\u00f6rsel A\u00e7\u0131klama - Statoryals\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bu makale, tam bir a\u00e7\u0131klama, \u00f6rnek ve \u00f6zet dahil olmak \u00fczere Monty Hall sorununu a\u00e7\u0131klamaktad\u0131r.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-20T06:15:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/monty1.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/\",\"name\":\"Monty Hall Problemi: Basit Bir G\u00f6rsel A\u00e7\u0131klama - Statoryals\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-07-20T06:15:35+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-07-20T06:15:35+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\"},\"description\":\"Bu makale, tam bir a\u00e7\u0131klama, \u00f6rnek ve \u00f6zet dahil olmak \u00fczere Monty Hall sorununu a\u00e7\u0131klamaktad\u0131r.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/monty-hall-sorunu\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Ev\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Monty hall problemi: basit bir g\u00f6rsel a\u00e7\u0131klama\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\",\"name\":\"Statorials\",\"description\":\"\u0130statistik okuryazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 rehberiniz!\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\",\"name\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\"},\"description\":\"Merhaba, ben Benjamin, emekli bir istatistik profes\u00f6r\u00fc ve Statorials \u00f6\u011fretmenine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm. \u0130statistik alan\u0131ndaki kapsaml\u0131 deneyimim ve uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131mla, \u00f6\u011frencilerimi Statorials arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in bilgilerimi payla\u015fmaya can at\u0131yorum. 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