{"id":497,"date":"2023-07-29T17:25:02","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T17:25:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T17:25:02","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T17:25:02","slug":"nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/","title":{"rendered":"Puan tahmini hesaplay\u0131c\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><script src=\"https:\/\/cdnjs.cloudflare.com\/ajax\/libs\/mathjs\/5.1.1\/math.js\"><\/script><script src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jsdelivr.net\/npm\/jstat@latest\/dist\/jstat.min.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<style>\n@import url('https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css?family=Droid+Serif|Raleway');<\/p>\n<p>.axis--y .domain {\n  display: none;\n}<\/p>\n<p>h1 {\ncolor: black;\ntext-align: center;\nmargin-top: 15px;\nmargin-bottom: 0px;\nfont-family: 'Raleway', sans-serif;\n}<\/p>\n<p>h2 {\ncolor: black;\nfont-size: 20px;\ntext-align: center;\nmargin-bottom: 15px;\nmargin-top: 15px;\nfont-family: 'Raleway', sans-serif;\n}<\/p>\n<p>p {\ncolor: black;\ntext-align: center;\nmargin-bottom: 15px;\nmargin-top: 15px;\nfont-family: 'Raleway', sans-serif;\n}<\/p>\n<p>#words_intro {\ncolor: black;\nfont-family: Raleway;\nmax-width: 550px;\nmargin: 25px auto;\nline-height: 1.75;\n}<\/p>\n<p>#words_outro {\ncolor: black;\nfont-family: Raleway;\nmax-width: 550px;\nmargin: 25px auto;\nline-height: 1.75;\n}<\/p>\n<p>#words {\ncolor: black;\nfont-family: Raleway;\nmax-width: 550px;\nmargin: 25px auto;\nline-height: 1.75;\npadding-left: 100px;\n}<\/p>\n<p>#calcTitle {\ntext-align: center;\nfont-size: 20px;\nmargin-bottom: 0px;\nfont-family: 'Raleway', serif;\n}<\/p>\n<p>#hr_top {\nwidth: 30%;\nmargin-bottom: 0px;\nmargin-top: 10px;\nborder: none;\nheight: 2px;\ncolor: black;\nbackground-color: black;\n}<\/p>\n<p>#hr_bottom {\nwidth: 30%;\nmargin-top: 15px;\nborder: none;\nheight: 2px;\ncolor: black;\nbackground-color: black;\n}<\/p>\n<p>.input_label_calc {\n    display: inline-block;\n    vertical-align: baseline;\n    width: 350px;\n}<\/p>\n<p>    #button_calc {\n      border: 1px solid;\n      border-radius: 10px;\n      margin-top: 20px;\n      padding: 10px 10px;\n      cursor: pointer;\n      outline: none;\n      background-color: white;\n      color: black;\n      font-family: 'Work Sans', sans-serif;\n      border: 1px solid grey;\n      \/* Green *\/\n    }<\/p>\n<p>    #button_calc:hover {\n      background-color: #f6f6f6;\n      border: 1px solid black;\n    }<\/p>\n<p>\t    .label_radio {\n\ttext-align: center;\n}\n<\/style>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"><b>Nokta tahmini,<\/b> bir pop\u00fclasyon parametresine ili\u015fkin &#8220;en iyi tahminimizi&#8221; temsil eder.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> \u00d6rne\u011fin, bir \u00f6rnek ortalama, bir pop\u00fclasyon ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n nokta tahmini olarak kullan\u0131labilir.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> Benzer \u015fekilde, bir \u00f6rneklem oran\u0131, pop\u00fclasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n nokta tahmini olarak kullan\u0131labilir. Bununla birlikte, n\u00fcfus oran\u0131n\u0131n nokta tahminini hesaplaman\u0131n birka\u00e7 yolu vard\u0131r; bunlar aras\u0131nda \u015funlar yer al\u0131r:<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> <b>Tahmini MLE noktas\u0131<\/b> : x\/n<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> <b>Tahmini Wilson noktas\u0131<\/b> : (x + z <sup>2<\/sup> \/2) \/ (n + z <sup>2<\/sup> )<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> <b>Jeffrey Point tahmini<\/b> : (x + 0,5) \/ (n + 1)<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> <b>Laplace noktas\u0131 tahmini<\/b> : (x + 1) \/ (n + 2)<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> burada <b>x<\/b> , numunedeki &#8220;isabet&#8221; say\u0131s\u0131d\u0131r, <b>n<\/b> , numune boyutu veya deneme say\u0131s\u0131d\u0131r ve <b>z<\/b> , g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyiyle ili\u015fkili z puan\u0131d\u0131r.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> En iyi puan tahminini bulmak i\u00e7in Ba\u015far\u0131 Say\u0131s\u0131, Deneme Say\u0131s\u0131 ve G\u00fcven D\u00fczeyi de\u011ferlerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki kutulara girip &#8220;Hesapla&#8221; butonuna t\u0131klaman\u0131z yeterlidir.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words\"> <label class=\"input_label_calc\" for=\"x\"><b>Ba\u015far\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 (x)<\/b><\/label><input class=\"input_label_calc\" type=\"number\" id=\"x\" value=\"14\"> <label class=\"input_label_calc\" for=\"n\"><b>Deneme say\u0131s\u0131 (n)<\/b><\/label><input class=\"input_label_calc\" type=\"number\" id=\"n\" value=\"31\"> <label class=\"input_label_calc\" for=\"conf\"><b>Bir g\u00fcven d\u00fczeyi (%)<\/b><\/label> <input class=\"input_label_calc\" type=\"number\" id=\"conf\" value=\"95\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"words\"><input class=\"input_label_calc\" type=\"button\" id=\"button_calc\" onclick=\"calc()\" value=\"Calculate\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"words_outro\">\n<p> En iyi tahmin = <b><span id=\"best\">0,45695<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p> Tahmini MLE puan\u0131 = <span id=\"mle\">0,45161<\/span><\/p>\n<p> Tahmini Wilson Noktas\u0131 = <span id=\"wilson\">0,45695<\/span><\/p>\n<p> Jeffrey nokta tahmini = <span id=\"jeffrey\">0,45313<\/span><\/p>\n<p> Tahmini Laplace noktas\u0131 = <span id=\"laplace\">0,45455<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<hr>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> Bu hesaplay\u0131c\u0131, hangi nokta tahmininin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n en iyi oldu\u011funu belirlemek i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki mant\u0131\u011f\u0131 kullan\u0131r:<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> E\u011fer <b>x\/n \u2264 0,5<\/b> ise Wilson nokta tahminini kullan\u0131n.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> Aksi takdirde, <b>x\/n &lt; 0,9<\/b> ise MLE nokta tahminini kullan\u0131n.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> Aksi takdirde, <b>x\/n &lt; 1,0<\/b> ise Jeffrey Point veya Laplace Point Estimate&#8217;den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olan\u0131 kullan\u0131n.<\/div>\n<div id=\"words_intro\"> Aksi takdirde, <b>x\/n = 1,0<\/b> ise Laplace noktas\u0131 tahminini kullan\u0131n.<\/div>\n<p><script><\/p>\n<p>function calc() {\t<\/p>\n<p>\/\/get input values\nvar x = document.getElementById('x').value*1;\nvar n = document.getElementById('n').value*1;\nvar conf = (1 - document.getElementById('conf').value\/100)\/2;\nvar z = Math.abs(jStat.normal.inv(conf, 0, 1));<\/p>\n<p>\/\/find estimates\nvar mle = x\/n;\nvar wilson = (x - ((-z*z)\/2)) \/ (n - (-z*z));\nvar jeffrey = (x - (-.5)) \/ (n - (-1));\nvar laplace = (x - (-1)) \/ (n - (-2));<\/p>\n<p>\/\/find best estimate\nvar val = x\/n;\nvar best = x\/n;\nif (val <= 0.5) {\n  best = wilson;\n} else if (val < 0.9) {\n  best = mle;\n} else if (val < 1) {\n  best = Math.min(laplace, jeffrey);\n} else {\n  best = laplace;\n}\n\n\/\/output results\ndocument.getElementById('best').innerHTML = best.toFixed(5);\ndocument.getElementById('mle').innerHTML = mle.toFixed(5);\ndocument.getElementById('wilson').innerHTML = wilson.toFixed(5);\ndocument.getElementById('jeffrey').innerHTML = jeffrey.toFixed(5);\ndocument.getElementById('laplace').innerHTML = laplace.toFixed(5);\n}\n\n<\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nokta tahmini, bir pop\u00fclasyon parametresine ili\u015fkin &#8220;en iyi tahminimizi&#8221; temsil eder. \u00d6rne\u011fin, bir \u00f6rnek ortalama, bir pop\u00fclasyon ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n nokta tahmini olarak kullan\u0131labilir. Benzer \u015fekilde, bir \u00f6rneklem oran\u0131, pop\u00fclasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n nokta tahmini olarak kullan\u0131labilir. Bununla birlikte, n\u00fcfus oran\u0131n\u0131n nokta tahminini hesaplaman\u0131n birka\u00e7 yolu vard\u0131r; bunlar aras\u0131nda \u015funlar yer al\u0131r: Tahmini MLE noktas\u0131 : x\/n Tahmini Wilson [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-497","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-rehber"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Nokta Tahmin Hesaplay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 - Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nokta tahmin hesaplay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131, \u00e7e\u015fitli tahmin tekniklerini kullanarak bilinmeyen bir pop\u00fclasyon parametresinin &quot;en iyi tahminini&quot; bulur.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nokta Tahmin Hesaplay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 - Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Nokta tahmin hesaplay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131, \u00e7e\u015fitli tahmin tekniklerini kullanarak bilinmeyen bir pop\u00fclasyon parametresinin &quot;en iyi tahminini&quot; bulur.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-29T17:25:02+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/\",\"name\":\"Nokta Tahmin Hesaplay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 - Statorials\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-07-29T17:25:02+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-07-29T17:25:02+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\"},\"description\":\"Nokta tahmin hesaplay\u0131c\u0131s\u0131, \u00e7e\u015fitli tahmin tekniklerini kullanarak bilinmeyen bir pop\u00fclasyon parametresinin &quot;en iyi tahminini&quot; bulur.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/nokta-tahmini-hesaplayicisi\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Ev\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Puan tahmini hesaplay\u0131c\u0131\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\",\"name\":\"Statorials\",\"description\":\"\u0130statistik okuryazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 rehberiniz!\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\",\"name\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\"},\"description\":\"Merhaba, ben Benjamin, emekli bir istatistik profes\u00f6r\u00fc ve Statorials \u00f6\u011fretmenine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm. \u0130statistik alan\u0131ndaki kapsaml\u0131 deneyimim ve uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131mla, \u00f6\u011frencilerimi Statorials arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in bilgilerimi payla\u015fmaya can at\u0131yorum. 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