{"id":601,"date":"2023-07-29T09:10:25","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:10:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T09:10:25","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T09:10:25","slug":"oran-oranlarini-yorumlama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/","title":{"rendered":"Oran oranlar\u0131 nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r?"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n

\u0130statistikte olas\u0131l\u0131k<\/strong> , bir olay\u0131n meydana gelme ihtimalini ifade eder. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde hesaplan\u0131r:<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

OLASILIK:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

P(olay) = (# arzu edilen sonu\u00e7lar) \/ (# olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin bir torbada d\u00f6rt k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 ve bir ye\u015fil topumuz oldu\u011funu varsayal\u0131m. G\u00f6zlerinizi kapat\u0131p rastgele bir top se\u00e7erseniz ye\u015fil top se\u00e7me olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplan\u0131r:<\/span><\/p>\n

P(ye\u015fil) = 1\/5 = 0,2<\/strong> .<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"Toplarla<\/p>\n

Bir olay\u0131n ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Oranlar:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u015eans (olay) = P (olay meydana gelir) \/ 1-P (olay meydana gelir)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin ye\u015fil topa at\u0131\u015f yapma ihtimali (0,2)\/1-(0,2) = 0,2\/0,8 = 0,25’tir<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131<\/strong> iki olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n oran\u0131d\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u015eANS RAPORU:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Oran Oran\u0131 = A Olay\u0131n\u0131n Oran\u0131 \/ B Olay\u0131n\u0131n Oran\u0131<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 top ile ye\u015fil topun se\u00e7ilmesi aras\u0131ndaki olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131n\u0131 hesaplayabiliriz.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 topun \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 4\/5 = 0,8’dir<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 top \u00e7ekme \u015fans\u0131 (0,8) \/ 1-(0,8) = 0,8 \/ 0,2 = 4’t\u00fcr<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Ye\u015fil top yerine k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 topun se\u00e7ilmesine ili\u015fkin olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131<\/strong> \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplan\u0131r:<\/span><\/p>\n

Oranlar (k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131) \/ Oranlar (ye\u015fil) = 4 \/ 0,25 = 16<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Yani k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 topa vurma \u015fans\u0131, ye\u015fil topa vurma \u015fans\u0131ndan 16 kat daha fazlad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ger\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyada olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131 ne zaman kullan\u0131l\u0131r?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n

Ger\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyada olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131, ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar\u0131n iki olay\u0131n meydana gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmak istedi\u011fi \u00e7e\u015fitli ba\u011flamlarda kullan\u0131l\u0131r.<\/span> \u0130\u015fte baz\u0131 \u00f6rnekler.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6rnek #1: Olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131n yorumlanmas\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, yeni bir tedavinin, mevcut tedaviye k\u0131yasla hastan\u0131n olumlu bir sa\u011fl\u0131k sonucu ya\u015fama \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131p art\u0131rmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmek istiyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tablo, tedaviye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak olumlu veya olumsuz sa\u011fl\u0131k sonucu ya\u015fayan hastalar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"Olas\u0131l\u0131k<\/p>\n

Bir hastan\u0131n yeni tedaviden olumlu sonu\u00e7 alma \u015fans\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u015eans<\/strong> = P(pozitif) \/ 1 \u2013 P(pozitif) = (50\/90) \/ 1-(50\/90) = (50\/90) \/ (40\/90) = 1,25<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bir hastan\u0131n mevcut tedaviyle olumlu bir sonu\u00e7 elde etme \u015fans\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u015eans<\/strong> = P(pozitif) \/ 1 \u2013 P(pozitif) = (42\/90) \/ 1-(42\/90) = (42\/90) \/ (48\/90) = 0,875<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylece yeni tedavinin mevcut tedaviye g\u00f6re olumlu sonu\u00e7 elde etme olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

Olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131<\/strong> = 1,25 \/ 0,875 = 1,428<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Bunu , bir hastan\u0131n yeni tedaviyi kullanarak olumlu sonu\u00e7 alma \u015fans\u0131n\u0131n, bir hastan\u0131n mevcut tedaviyi kullanarak olumlu sonu\u00e7 alma \u015fans\u0131n\u0131n<\/strong> 1,428<\/strong> kat\u0131<\/strong> oldu\u011fu<\/strong> \u015feklinde yorumluyoruz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yani yeni tedaviyle olumlu sonu\u00e7 alma \u015fans\u0131 y\u00fczde 42,8<\/strong> artt\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6rnek #2: Olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131n yorumlanmas\u0131<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Pazarlamac\u0131lar, bir reklam\u0131n m\u00fc\u015fterilerin belirli bir \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc ba\u015fka bir reklama g\u00f6re daha s\u0131k sat\u0131n almas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flay\u0131p sa\u011flamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bilmek ister. Yani her reklam\u0131 100 ki\u015fiye g\u00f6steriyorlar. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tablo, g\u00f6rd\u00fckleri reklama g\u00f6re \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n alan ki\u015filerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir:<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"Oran<\/p>\n

Bir ki\u015finin ilk reklam\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n alma \u015fans\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

Oranlar<\/strong> = P(al\u0131nd\u0131) \/ 1 \u2013 P(al\u0131nd\u0131) = (73\/100) \/ 1-(73\/100) = (73\/100) \/ (27\/100) = 2,704<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Bir ki\u015finin ikinci reklam\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n alma \u015fans\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

Oranlar<\/strong> = P(al\u0131nd\u0131) \/ 1 \u2013 P(al\u0131nd\u0131) = (65\/100) \/ 1-(65\/10) = (65\/100) \/ (35\/100) = 1,857<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, bir m\u00fc\u015fterinin ilk reklam\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n almas\u0131 ile ikinci reklam\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra sat\u0131n almas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131 \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplanabilir:<\/span><\/p>\n

Olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131<\/strong> = 2,704 \/ 1,857 = 1,456<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Bunu , bir ki\u015finin ilk reklam\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n alma ihtimalinin, bir ki\u015finin ikinci reklam\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n alma ihtimalinin<\/strong> 1,456<\/strong> kat\u0131<\/strong> oldu\u011fu<\/strong> \u015feklinde yorumluyoruz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yani ilk listeleme sayesinde \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc sat\u0131n alma \u015fans\u0131 %45,6<\/strong> art\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ek kaynaklar<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Excel’de Oran Oran\u0131 ve G\u00f6reli Risk Nas\u0131l Hesaplan\u0131r?<\/a>
1’den k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir olas\u0131l\u0131k oran\u0131 nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r?
G\u00f6receli risk nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r?<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130statistikte olas\u0131l\u0131k , bir olay\u0131n meydana gelme ihtimalini ifade eder. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki \u015fekilde hesaplan\u0131r: OLASILIK: P(olay) = (# arzu edilen sonu\u00e7lar) \/ (# olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar) \u00d6rne\u011fin bir torbada d\u00f6rt k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 ve bir ye\u015fil topumuz oldu\u011funu varsayal\u0131m. G\u00f6zlerinizi kapat\u0131p rastgele bir top se\u00e7erseniz ye\u015fil top se\u00e7me olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z \u015fu \u015fekilde hesaplan\u0131r: P(ye\u015fil) = 1\/5 = 0,2 . Bir […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-rehber"],"yoast_head":"\nOran oranlar\u0131 nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r \u2013 Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l yorumlanaca\u011f\u0131na dair birka\u00e7 \u00f6rnekle basit bir a\u00e7\u0131klama.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oran oranlar\u0131 nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r \u2013 Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l yorumlanaca\u011f\u0131na dair birka\u00e7 \u00f6rnekle basit bir a\u00e7\u0131klama.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-29T09:10:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/cotesratio1-1.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/\",\"name\":\"Oran oranlar\u0131 nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r \u2013 Statorials\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-07-29T09:10:25+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-07-29T09:10:25+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\"},\"description\":\"Olas\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l yorumlanaca\u011f\u0131na dair birka\u00e7 \u00f6rnekle basit bir a\u00e7\u0131klama.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/oran-oranlarini-yorumlama\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Ev\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Oran oranlar\u0131 nas\u0131l yorumlan\u0131r?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\",\"name\":\"Statorials\",\"description\":\"\u0130statistik okuryazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 rehberiniz!\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\",\"name\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\"},\"description\":\"Merhaba, ben Benjamin, emekli bir istatistik profes\u00f6r\u00fc ve Statorials \u00f6\u011fretmenine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm. \u0130statistik alan\u0131ndaki kapsaml\u0131 deneyimim ve uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131mla, \u00f6\u011frencilerimi Statorials arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in bilgilerimi payla\u015fmaya can at\u0131yorum. 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