{"id":886,"date":"2023-07-28T10:35:27","date_gmt":"2023-07-28T10:35:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/"},"modified":"2023-07-28T10:35:27","modified_gmt":"2023-07-28T10:35:27","slug":"buyuk-sayilar-kanunu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu: tan\u0131m + \u00f6rnekler"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu,<\/strong> \u00f6rneklemin boyutu artt\u0131k\u00e7a \u00f6rneklem ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n<\/a> beklenen de\u011fere yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtir.<\/span><\/p>\n

En temel \u00f6rnek yaz\u0131 tura atmakt\u0131r. Her para at\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda tura gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 1\/2’dir. Yani sonsuz say\u0131da at\u0131\u015fta ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak turalar\u0131n beklenen<\/em> oran\u0131 1\/2 veya 0,5’tir<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n

Ancak paray\u0131 10 kez atarsak yaln\u0131zca 3 kez tura geldi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz. 10 \u00e7evirme k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir \u00f6rnek boyutu oldu\u011fundan, kafa oran\u0131n\u0131n 0,5’e<\/strong> yak\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n garantisi yoktur.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paray\u0131 10 kez daha atmaya devam edersek, 20 kez toplam 9 kez tura geldi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz. 10 kez daha atarsak, 30 kez 22 kez tura geldi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yaz\u0131 tura att\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, tura gelme oran\u0131 beklenen oran olan 0,5’e<\/strong> yak\u0131nla\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"Kura<\/p>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanununun bu basit fikri, ger\u00e7ek hayatta bir\u00e7ok i\u015fletme ve end\u00fcstri t\u00fcr\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan uygulanmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kumarhanelerde b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Kumarhaneler g\u00fcvenilir bir \u015fekilde kar elde etmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanununa g\u00fcvenir. \u00c7o\u011fu oyunda kumarhane, zaman\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %51-55’ini kazan\u0131r. Bu, bireylerin ara s\u0131ra \u015fansl\u0131 olabilece\u011fi ve makul miktarda kazanabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir, ancak onbinlerce bireysel oyuncudan kumarhane beklenen oran\u0131n %51-55’ini kazanacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin Jessica kumarhanede birka\u00e7 oyun oynayabilir ve 50$ kazanabilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mike ayr\u0131ca birka\u00e7 oyun oynay\u0131p 70$ kaybedebilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

John birka\u00e7 oyun oynay\u0131p 25$ kazanabilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Susan birka\u00e7 oyun oynay\u0131p 40 dolar kaybedebilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 oyuncular para kazanacak ve di\u011ferleri para kaybedecek, ancak oyunlar\u0131n tasarlanma \u015fekli nedeniyle kumarhaneler binlerce ki\u015fiden kazanacaklar\u0131ndan emin olabilirler.<\/span> <\/p>\n

\"Kumarhanelerde<\/p>\n

Sigortada b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

Sigorta \u015firketleri de k\u00e2rl\u0131 kalabilmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanununa g\u00fcveniyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Temel fikir, binlerce sigorta \u015firketinin her ay belirli bir prim \u00f6deyen ki\u015filere sigorta sa\u011flayabilmesi ve sigortalad\u0131klar\u0131 ki\u015filerin yaln\u0131zca k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir y\u00fczdesinin b\u00fcy\u00fck beklenmedik masraflar\u0131 \u00f6demek i\u00e7in sigortay\u0131 kullanmas\u0131 gerekece\u011fidir.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, 1.000 ki\u015finin her biri sigorta i\u00e7in y\u0131lda 1.000 $ \u00f6deyebilir ve bu, bir sigorta \u015firketinin 1.000.000 $ kar elde etmesine neden olabilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, \u00e7e\u015fitli kazalarla ilgili beklenmedik masraflar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in 90 ki\u015finin her birinin sigorta \u015firketinden 10.000 $ almas\u0131 gerekebilir ve bu da sigorta \u015firketinin 900.000 $ zarara u\u011framas\u0131na neden olabilir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7ta sigorta \u015firketi 1.000.000 $ \u2013 900.000 $ = 100.000 $<\/strong> kar elde eder.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu, sigorta \u015firketinin ortalama olarak binlerce ki\u015fiden olduk\u00e7a \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir k\u00e2r elde etmeyi bekleyebilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bir sigorta \u015firketinin \u00e7ok say\u0131da insan\u0131<\/strong> sigortalamas\u0131 nedeniyle bu ekonomik modelin i\u015fe yarad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 unutmay\u0131n. Yaln\u0131zca 10 ki\u015fiyi sigortalasalard\u0131 bu \u00e7ok riskli olurdu \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc beklenmedik b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harcama i\u015fi yok edebilirdi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu nedenle sigorta \u015firketleri karlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir bir \u015fekilde tahmin etmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanununa g\u00fcveniyorlar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir enerjilerde b\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu yenilenebilir enerji \u015firketleri taraf\u0131ndan da kullan\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Temel fikir, r\u00fczgar t\u00fcrbinlerinin ve g\u00fcne\u015f panellerinin, i\u015fin farkl\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerinde elektrik \u00fcretmek i\u00e7in jenerat\u00f6rlere g\u00fc\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilmesidir. Ancak d\u0131\u015far\u0131da r\u00fczgar veya g\u00fcne\u015f yok, bu da r\u00fczgar t\u00fcrbinlerinin ve g\u00fcne\u015f panellerinin elektrik jenerat\u00f6rleri i\u00e7in her zaman g\u00fcvenilir g\u00fc\u00e7 \u00fcretemedi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yenilenebilir enerji \u015firketlerinin bu sorunu a\u015fman\u0131n yolu, onbinlerce r\u00fczgar t\u00fcrbinini veya g\u00fcne\u015f panelini tek bir elektrik \u015febekesine ba\u011flamak ve bu enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvenilir miktarda enerji \u00fcretme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmakt\u0131r. a\u011f i\u00e7in enerji.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00fchendisler onbinlerce r\u00fczgar t\u00fcrbini veya g\u00fcne\u015f paneli \u00fczerinden beklenen ortalamay\u0131 kolayca alabildiklerinden, bu g\u00fc\u00e7 kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar enerji \u00fcretece\u011fini tahmin etmek de \u00e7ok daha kolayd\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bu olgunun ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 bu Scientific American makalesinde<\/a> bulabilirsiniz.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu, \u00f6rneklemin boyutu artt\u0131k\u00e7a \u00f6rneklem ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n beklenen de\u011fere yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtir. En temel \u00f6rnek yaz\u0131 tura atmakt\u0131r. Her para at\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131zda tura gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 1\/2’dir. Yani sonsuz say\u0131da at\u0131\u015fta ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak turalar\u0131n beklenen oran\u0131 1\/2 veya 0,5’tir . Ancak paray\u0131 10 kez atarsak yaln\u0131zca 3 kez tura geldi\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliriz. 10 \u00e7evirme k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir \u00f6rnek boyutu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-rehber"],"yoast_head":"\nB\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu: tan\u0131m + \u00f6rnekler - Statorials<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar yasas\u0131n\u0131n resmi bir tan\u0131m ve birka\u00e7 \u00f6rnekle birlikte a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"tr_TR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu: tan\u0131m + \u00f6rnekler - Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar yasas\u0131n\u0131n resmi bir tan\u0131m ve birka\u00e7 \u00f6rnekle birlikte a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Statorials\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-28T10:35:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ln1.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Yazan:\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr.benjamin anderson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tahmini okuma s\u00fcresi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 dakika\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/\",\"name\":\"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu: tan\u0131m + \u00f6rnekler - Statorials\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2023-07-28T10:35:27+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-07-28T10:35:27+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\"},\"description\":\"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar yasas\u0131n\u0131n resmi bir tan\u0131m ve birka\u00e7 \u00f6rnekle birlikte a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/buyuk-sayilar-kanunu\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Ev\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"B\u00fcy\u00fck say\u0131lar kanunu: tan\u0131m + \u00f6rnekler\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/\",\"name\":\"Statorials\",\"description\":\"\u0130statistik okuryazarl\u0131\u011f\u0131 rehberiniz!\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"tr\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/365dc158a39a7c8ae256355451e3de48\",\"name\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"tr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/statorials.org\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/Dr.-Benjamin-Anderson-96x96.jpg\",\"caption\":\"Dr.benjamin anderson\"},\"description\":\"Merhaba, ben Benjamin, emekli bir istatistik profes\u00f6r\u00fc ve Statorials \u00f6\u011fretmenine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcm. \u0130statistik alan\u0131ndaki kapsaml\u0131 deneyimim ve uzmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131mla, \u00f6\u011frencilerimi Statorials arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in bilgilerimi payla\u015fmaya can at\u0131yorum. 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