{"id":672,"date":"2023-07-29T03:17:03","date_gmt":"2023-07-29T03:17:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/uk\/r-%d0%ba%d0%b0%d1%80%d1%82%d0%ba%d0%b0\/"},"modified":"2023-07-29T03:17:03","modified_gmt":"2023-07-29T03:17:03","slug":"r-%d0%ba%d0%b0%d1%80%d1%82%d0%ba%d0%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/statorials.org\/uk\/r-%d0%ba%d0%b0%d1%80%d1%82%d0%ba%d0%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u042f\u043a \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0445\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438 mape \u0432 r"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u041e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0456\u0437 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430\u0437\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0456\u0432 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0432\u0438\u043c\u0456\u0440\u044e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0456 \u0454 <strong>MAPE<\/strong> , \u0449\u043e \u043e\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 <strong>\u0441\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u044e \u0430\u0431\u0441\u043e\u043b\u044e\u0442\u043d\u0443 \u0432\u0456\u0434\u0441\u043e\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043b\u043a\u0443<\/strong> .<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0424\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0443\u043b\u0430 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0445\u0443\u043d\u043a\u0443 MAPE \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0430:<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE<\/strong> = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u2013 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437| \/ |\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439|) * 100<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0437\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0442\u043e:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u03a3<\/strong> \u2013 \u0445\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0441\u0438\u043c\u0432\u043e\u043b, \u0449\u043e \u043e\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 \u00ab\u0441\u0443\u043c\u0430\u00bb<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>n<\/strong> \u2013 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043c\u0456\u0440 \u0432\u0438\u0431\u0456\u0440\u043a\u0438<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>real<\/strong> \u2013 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0435 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437<\/strong> \u2013 \u043e\u0447\u0456\u043a\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0435 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE \u0437\u0430\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0447\u0430\u0439 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f, \u043e\u0441\u043a\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043a\u0438 \u0439\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043b\u0435\u0433\u043a\u043e \u0456\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u043f\u043e\u044f\u0441\u043d\u044e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438. \u041d\u0430\u043f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434, \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f MAPE 6% \u043e\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454, \u0449\u043e \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u044f \u0440\u0456\u0437\u043d\u0438\u0446\u044f \u043c\u0456\u0436 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c \u0456 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c \u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0442\u044c 6%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0426\u0435\u0439 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0440\u0443\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043a \u043c\u0456\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0434\u0432\u0430 \u0440\u0456\u0437\u043d\u0456 \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0438, \u044f\u043a\u0456 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043d\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u043e\u0431\u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f MAPE \u0443 R.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u0421\u043f\u043e\u0441\u0456\u0431 1: \u041d\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0448\u0456\u0442\u044c \u0432\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u0443 \u0444\u0443\u043d\u043a\u0446\u0456\u044e<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043c\u043e, \u0443 \u043d\u0430\u0441 \u0454 \u043d\u0430\u0431\u0456\u0440 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u0456 \u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u043f\u0446\u0435\u043c, \u0449\u043e \u043c\u0456\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445, \u0456 \u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u043f\u0446\u0435\u043c, \u0449\u043e \u043c\u0456\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0442\u044c \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445:<\/span><\/p>\n<pre style=\"background-color: #e5e5e5; font-size: 15px;\"> <strong><span style=\"color: #008080;\">#create dataset<\/span>\ndata &lt;- data. <span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">frame<\/span> (actual=c(34, 37, 44, 47, 48, 48, 46, 43, 32, 27, 26, 24),\n                   forecast=c(37, 40, 46, 44, 46, 50, 45, 44, 34, 30, 22, 23))\n<span style=\"color: #008080;\">\n#view dataset<\/span>\ndata\n\n   current forecast\n1 34 37\n2 37 40\n3 44 46\n4 47 44\n5 48 46\n6 48 50\n7 46 45\n8 43 44\n9 32 34\n10 27 30\n11 26 22\n12 24 23\n<\/strong><\/pre>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0429\u043e\u0431 \u043e\u0431\u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438 MAPE, \u043c\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u043c\u043e \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0443 \u0444\u0443\u043d\u043a\u0446\u0456\u044e:<\/span><\/p>\n<pre style=\"background-color: #e5e5e5; font-size: 15px;\"> <strong><span style=\"color: #008080;\">#calculate MAPE<\/span>\nmean(abs((data$actual-data$forecast)\/data$actual)) * 100\n\n[1] 6.467108\n<\/strong><\/pre>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">MAPE \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0446\u0456\u0454\u0457 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0456 \u0432\u0438\u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f <strong>6,467%<\/strong> . \u0422\u043e\u0431\u0442\u043e \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u044f \u0430\u0431\u0441\u043e\u043b\u044e\u0442\u043d\u0430 \u0440\u0456\u0437\u043d\u0438\u0446\u044f \u043c\u0456\u0436 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c \u0456 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0442\u044c 6,467%.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>\u0421\u043f\u043e\u0441\u0456\u0431 2: \u0412\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0439\u0442\u0435 \u043f\u0430\u043a\u0435\u0442<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u041c\u0438 \u0442\u0430\u043a\u043e\u0436 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435\u043c\u043e \u043e\u0431\u0447\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0438\u0442\u0438 MAPE \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0442\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0441\u0430\u043c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043d\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0440\u0443 \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u0437\u0430 \u0434\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0433\u043e\u044e \u0444\u0443\u043d\u043a\u0446\u0456\u0457 <strong>MAPE()<\/strong> \u0456\u0437 \u043f\u0430\u043a\u0435\u0442\u0430 <strong>MLmetrics<\/strong> , \u044f\u043a\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0454 \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0441\u0438\u043d\u0442\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0438\u0441:<\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>MAPE(y_\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434, y_true)<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0437\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0442\u043e:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>y_pred:<\/strong> \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f<\/span><\/li>\n<li> <span style=\"color: #000000;\"><strong>y_true:<\/strong> \u0441\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0436\u043d\u0456 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u041e\u0441\u044c \u0441\u0438\u043d\u0442\u0430\u043a\u0441\u0438\u0441, \u044f\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u043c\u0438 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043c\u043e \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0432 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043a\u043b\u0430\u0434\u0456:<\/span><\/p>\n<pre style=\"background-color: #e5e5e5; font-size: 15px;\"> <strong><span style=\"color: #008080;\">#load MLmetrics package<\/span>\n<span style=\"color: #008000;\">library<\/span> (MLmetrics)\n\n<span style=\"color: #008080;\">#calculate MAPE<\/span>\nMAPE(data$forecast, data$actual)\n\n[1] 0.06467108<\/strong><\/pre>\n<p> <span style=\"color: #000000;\">\u0426\u0435 \u0434\u0430\u0454 \u0442\u0435 \u0441\u0430\u043c\u0435 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f MAPE <strong>6,467%<\/strong> , \u044f\u043a\u0435 \u043c\u0438 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0445\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430 \u0434\u043e\u043f\u043e\u043c\u043e\u0433\u043e\u044e \u043f\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u044c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043c\u0435\u0442\u043e\u0434\u0443.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u041e\u0434\u043d\u0438\u043c \u0456\u0437 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e \u0432\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0430\u0437\u043d\u0438\u043a\u0456\u0432 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0432\u0438\u043c\u0456\u0440\u044e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0442\u043e\u0447\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443 \u043c\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0456 \u0454 MAPE , \u0449\u043e \u043e\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043d\u044e \u0430\u0431\u0441\u043e\u043b\u044e\u0442\u043d\u0443 \u0432\u0456\u0434\u0441\u043e\u0442\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0443 \u043f\u043e\u043c\u0438\u043b\u043a\u0443 . \u0424\u043e\u0440\u043c\u0443\u043b\u0430 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0445\u0443\u043d\u043a\u0443 MAPE \u0442\u0430\u043a\u0430: MAPE = (1\/n) * \u03a3(|\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u2013 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437| \/ |\u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0439|) * 100 \u0437\u043e\u043b\u043e\u0442\u043e: \u03a3 \u2013 \u0445\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0438\u0439 \u0441\u0438\u043c\u0432\u043e\u043b, \u0449\u043e \u043e\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 \u00ab\u0441\u0443\u043c\u0430\u00bb n \u2013 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043c\u0456\u0440 \u0432\u0438\u0431\u0456\u0440\u043a\u0438 real \u2013 \u0444\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0435 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0434\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the 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